Today's Source

Monday, November 2, 2026

← Nov 1 Nov 3 →

Americans prepare to vote in 2026 midterm elections featuring competitive Senate, House, and gubernatorial races across multiple states

Follow the Money

Kansas Senate: Hamilton's Late Fundraising Haul

With Election Day one day away, the Kansas Senate race produced the sharpest fundraising number in this batch of filings. Democrat Adam Hamilton reported total receipts of $19,175,044.34, against disbursements of $16,300,680.60, leaving $2,874,363.74 cash on hand heading into the final stretch. The gap between what Hamilton raised and what remains on hand reflects a campaign that spent heavily down the stretch rather than banking reserves.

California House: Eric Jones's Spending Pace

In the California House race, Democrat Eric Jones filed similarly large numbers: $18,058,057.13 in total receipts and $16,516,978.44 in disbursements, leaving $1,541,078.69 on hand. Jones's cash-on-hand figure is the lowest of the two detailed filings in this batch relative to total receipts, indicating a campaign that converted nearly all its fundraising into spending ahead of Tuesday's vote.

Other New Filings

Several additional reports arrived without financial figures attached. These include Independent Michael Estrada in the New Jersey Senate race, Libertarian Matt Loesby in the Idaho Senate race, and a cluster of House filings: Democrat Thomas Perriello and Independent Ahsen Mujeeb Malik in Virginia, Democrat Gerald Edward Connolly also in Virginia, Green Party candidate Andres Jinete in New Jersey, Independent Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera in California, and Republican Mark Green in Tennessee. With no receipts, disbursements, or cash-on-hand data reported for any of these candidates, no financial comparison is possible at this time.

Continue reading →

Headlines

What to Watch

🗳 Voting this week

6 governor races are rated Toss-up: Georgia, Kansas, Nevada, Oregon, Texas, and Vermont.

Election Day Arrives Tuesday

Polls open tomorrow, November 3, across the country, closing out a cycle that decides control of the House, the Senate, and a wide field of governorships. Turnout and early vote patterns reported throughout the day will shape expectations well before polls close, but the only numbers that matter are the ones counted after voting ends.

Senate Races to Watch

Several contests remain in the toss-up category heading into Election Day, including Alaska, Iowa, Louisiana, Ohio, and South Carolina. Watch how early results in these states compare with pre-election ratings, since any of them could determine which party holds the Senate majority.

House Battlegrounds

Beyond the Senate map, dozens of House districts carry toss-up ratings, with clusters in Florida, New York, Pennsylvania, and Texas. These districts, along with competitive seats in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, will be early indicators of which way the broader House majority is trending as returns come in Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning.

Continue reading →

New Polls (64)

Alaska Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 30, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=610 LV · ±5 not in published average First choice only, not in average —
Iowa Senate View race 2 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=705 LV · ±4.7 Turek 48%–Hinson 47% D+1.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,020 LV · ±3.1 Turek 50%–Hinson 49% D+1.0
Kansas Senate View race 2 polls
Nov 1, 2026 NY Times/Siena n=736 LV · ±4.1 Hamilton 49%–Marshall 44% D+5.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,092 LV · ±2.8 Hamilton 50%–Marshall 49% D+1.0
Maine Senate View race 3 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=714 LV · ±3.4 Jackson 51%–Collins 45% D+6.0
Oct 31, 2026 University of New Hampshire n=1,654 LV · ±2.4 Jackson 54%–Collins 45% D+9.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=1,503 LV · ±4 Jackson 52%–Collins 47% D+5.0
Massachusetts Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=905 LV · ±3.3 Markey 53%–Deaton 32% D+21.0
Michigan Senate View race 3 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=1,011 LV · ±3.8 El-Sayed 53%–Rogers 42% D+11.0
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 El-Sayed 48%–Rogers 46% D+2.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,093 LV · ±3 El-Sayed 51%–Rogers 47% D+4.0
Minnesota Senate View race 2 polls
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Flanagan 48%–Tafoya 43% D+5.0
Oct 30, 2026 InsiderAdvantage n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Flanagan 49%–Tafoya 46% D+3.0
Nebraska Senate View race 2 polls
Oct 29, 2026 National Public Affairs (R) n=800 LV · ±3.5 Osborn 45%–Ricketts 48% R+3.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=1,979 LV · ±2.8 Osborn 49%–Ricketts 49% Even
New Hampshire Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=2,040 LV · ±2.2 Pappas 54%–Sununu 42% D+12.0
North Carolina Senate View race 3 polls
Oct 29, 2026 East Carolina U. n=1,041 LV · ±3.5 Cooper 54%–Whatley 45% D+9.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,130 LV · ±2.9 Cooper 55%–Whatley 44% D+11.0
Oct 23, 2026 RedBox Research (D) n=3,292 LV · ±3.7 Cooper 50%–Whatley 43% D+7.0
Ohio Senate View race 5 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=717 LV · ±3.4 Brown 49%–Husted 44% D+5.0
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Brown 45%–Husted 44% D+1.0
Oct 30, 2026 InsiderAdvantage n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Brown 49%–Husted 47% D+2.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,090 LV · ±2.8 Brown 50%–Husted 48% D+2.0
Oct 24, 2026 Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) n=469 LV · ±4.5 Brown 46%–Husted 42% D+4.0
Rhode Island Senate View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=753 LV · ±3.6 Reed 63%–McKay 32% D+31.0
Texas Senate View race 5 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=1,215 LV · ±3.4 Talarico 50%–Paxton 43% D+7.0
Nov 1, 2026 AtlasIntel n=1,678 A · ±2 Talarico 51%–Paxton 45% D+6.0
Nov 1, 2026 Atlas Intel n=1,678 LV · ±2.8 Talarico 52%–Paxton 46% D+6.0
Nov 1, 2026 Trafalgar Group n=1,089 LV · ±2.9 Talarico 48%–Paxton 48% Even
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,141 LV · ±2.9 Talarico 51%–Paxton 47% D+4.0
Alaska Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 30, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=610 LV · ±5 not in published average First choice only, not in average —
Connecticut Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 University of New Hampshire n=811 LV Lamont 54%–Fazio 41% D+13.0
Iowa Governor View race 3 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=705 LV · ±4.7 Sand 51%–Lahn 43% D+8.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,020 LV · ±3.1 Sand 53%–Lahn 46% D+7.0
Oct 28, 2026 co/efficient n=1,020 LV · ±3.1 Sand 50%–Lahn 45% D+5.0
Kansas Governor View race 2 polls
Nov 1, 2026 The New York Times/Siena University n=736 LV · ±4.4 Holscher 48%–Masterson 47% D+1.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,092 LV · ±2.8 Holscher 49%–Masterson 50% R+1.0
Maine Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=1,503 LV · ±4 Pingree 53%–Charles 45% D+8.0
Massachusetts Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=905 LV · ±3.3 Healey 55%–Minogue 36% D+19.0
Michigan Governor View race 3 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=1,011 LV · ±3.8 Benson 52%–James 39% D+13.0
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Benson 53%–James 41% D+12.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,093 LV · ±3 Benson 52%–James 46% D+6.0
Minnesota Governor View race 1 poll
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Klobuchar 53%–Demuth 40% D+13.0
Nebraska Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=1,979 LV · ±2.8 Walz 47%–Pillen 50% R+3.0
New Hampshire Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=2,040 LV · ±2.2 Warmington 48%–Ayotte 48% Even
New York Governor View race 1 poll
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Hochul 52%–Blakeman 43% D+9.0
Ohio Governor View race 5 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=717 LV · ±4.4 Acton 49%–Ramaswamy 43% D+6.0
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Acton 48%–Ramaswamy 42% D+6.0
Oct 30, 2026 InsiderAdvantage n=1,200 LV · ±2.8 Acton 49%–Ramaswamy 46% D+3.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,090 LV · ±2.8 Acton 52%–Ramaswamy 46% D+6.0
Oct 24, 2026 Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) n=469 LV · ±4.5 Acton 49%–Ramaswamy 39% D+10.0
Pennsylvania Governor View race 1 poll
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Shapiro 59%–Garrity 34% D+25.0
Texas Governor View race 4 polls
Nov 1, 2026 New York Times/Siena University n=1,215 LV · ±3.4 Hinojosa 48%–Abbott 47% D+1.0
Nov 1, 2026 AtlasIntel n=1,678 A · ±2.2 Hinojosa 49%–Abbott 48% D+1.0
Nov 1, 2026 Atlas Intel n=1,678 LV · ±2 Hinojosa 50%–Abbott 49% D+1.0
Oct 29, 2026 YouGov n=2,141 LV · ±2.9 Hinojosa 49%–Abbott 50% R+1.0
Vermont Governor View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=1,172 LV · ±2.9 Janoo 51%–Scott 43% D+8.0
Wisconsin Governor View race 1 poll
Nov 1, 2026 Research Co. n=450 LV · ±4.6 Crowley 50%–Tiffany 45% D+5.0
Maine CD-01 View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 University of New Hampshire n=843 LV Pingree 65%–Russell 32% D+33.0
Maine CD-02 View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=802 LV Dunlap 47%–LePage 52% R+5.0
New Hampshire CD-01 View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 University of New Hampshire n=1,032 LV Shaheen 56%–Dilorenzo 43% D+13.0
New Hampshire CD-02 View race 1 poll
Oct 31, 2026 UNH n=1,005 LV Goodlander 56%–Williams 41% D+15.0
National Generic View race 1 poll
Oct 30, 2026 NBC News n=1,000 RV Democrats 52%–Republicans 45% D+7.0

Added to the Archive (5)

Older polls newly added to the PollingSource database — fieldwork predates the last two weeks. Full results on each race page.

Sep 2026 Colorado Senate View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Texas Senate View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Arizona Governor View race 1 poll added
Sep 2026 Colorado Governor View race 1 poll added
Oct 2026 National Generic View race 1 poll added

How was today's briefing?

Get this briefing in your inbox every morning