Primary
Democratic Primary
Held September 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Francis Reed ✓ | 98,343 | 76.8% | |
| Connor Francis Burbridge | 17,159 | 13.4% | |
| Luis Daniel Muñoz | 12,483 | 9.8% |
Republican Primary
Held September 9, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond T Mckay ✓ | 20,350 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Rhode Island primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/WPRI-TV 2024 err 2.7 | 2026-10-11 | 800 LV | ±3.50 | Jack Reed 59.00% | Raymond McKay 25.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-09-21 | 595 LV | ±4.00 | Jack Reed 53.00% | Raymond McKay 33.00% |
| University of New Hampshire | 2026-08-24 | 750 LV | ±3.60 | Jack Reed 51.00% | Raymond McKay 31.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race?
Jack Reed leads Raymond McKay 54.3% to 29.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+24.6 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Emerson College/WPRI-TV (completed October 11, 2026), found Jack Reed (D) at 59% and Raymond McKay (R) at 25%.
When is the 2026 Rhode Island Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Five-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago
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