UNH
10 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10 | 4.2 pts | D+4.2 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | MA President | D+26.0 | D+25.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | ME President | D+11.0 | D+6.9 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | NH President | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | NH President | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-16 | MA President | D+31.0 | D+25.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-16 | NH President | D+11.0 | D+2.8 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-19 | ME President | D+17.0 | D+6.9 | 10.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-19 | NH President | D+5.0 | D+2.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-25 | ME President | D+9.0 | D+6.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-25 | NH President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.