2026 Senate Elections
35 seats up for election (33 Class II + 2 special elections)
Current Senate: 47D - 53R
Projected after the 2026 elections: 49D – 49R · 2 toss-ups (from current race ratings)
Latest Senate Polls
| State | Pollster | Date | Sample | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IA | Emerson ±2.7 | 2026-09-01 | 750 LV | Josh Turek 45.00% | Ashley Hinson 50.00% |
| NH | Fabrizio, Lee, & Associates (R) | 2026-08-30 | 600 LV | Chris Pappas 36.00% | John E. Sununu 37.00% |
| IA | Wedgewood Polls | 2026-08-29 | 600 LV | Josh Turek 48.00% | Ashley Hinson 50.00% |
| NM | Research & Polling Inc. | 2026-08-28 | 516 LV | Ben Ray Luján 53.00% | Larry Marker 38.00% |
| MI | EPIC-MRA | 2026-08-28 | 600 LV | El-Sayed 47.00% | Rogers 43.00% |
| MN | SurveyUSA | 2026-08-28 | 661 LV | Peggy Flanagan 46.00% | Michele Tafoya 41.00% |
| TN | Targoz Market Research | 2026-08-26 | 1157 RV | Marquita Bradshaw 31.00% | Bill Hagerty 51.00% |
| TX | Overton Insights (R) | 2026-08-26 | 1167 LV | James Talarico 50.00% | Ken Paxton 50.00% |
| TX | Texas Public Opinion Research (D) | 2026-08-24 | 1000 LV | James Talarico 48.00% | Ken Paxton 42.00% |
| SC | Impact Research partisan·D | 2026-08-24 | 700 LV | Annie Andrews 41.00% | Darline Graham 41.00% |
48 Senate poll(s) in the last 30 days. All recent Senate polls →
2026 Senate Races by Competitiveness
Key Retirements in 2026
Democrats (4)
- Dick Durbin (IL)
- Jeanne Shaheen (NH)
- Tina Smith (MN)
- Gary Peters (MI)
Republicans (5)
- Mitch McConnell (KY)
- Thom Tillis (NC)
- Joni Ernst (IA)
- Cynthia Lummis (WY)
- Tommy Tuberville (AL) - running for Gov
About Senate Ratings
A race rating is the 30-day PollingSource average when enough polls exist (Toss-up under 3 points; Lean 3 to under 6; Likely 6 to under 10; Safe 10 or more). One poll never sets the rating by itself. Expert consensus from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections is the fallback when polls are missing.