Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 17, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juliana Stratton ✓ | 507,689 | 40.7% | |
| Raja Krishnamoorthi | 411,150 | 32.9% | |
| Robin Kelly | 229,788 | 18.4% | |
| Kevin Ryan | 61,914 | 5.0% | |
| Bryan Maxwell | 10,070 | 0.8% | |
| Awisi Bustos | 8,020 | 0.6% | |
| Christopher Swann | 7,896 | 0.6% | |
| Jonathan Dean | 6,762 | 0.5% | |
| Steve Botsford | 5,411 | 0.4% |
Republican Primary
Held March 17, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don Tracy ✓ | 215,523 | 42.3% | |
| Jeannie Evans | 122,840 | 24.1% | |
| Casey Chlebek | 60,222 | 11.8% | |
| R. Cary Capparelli | 56,907 | 11.2% | |
| Pamela Denise Long | 53,810 | 10.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Illinois primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2026-10-01 | 569 LV | Juliana Stratton 49.00% | Don Tracy 36.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Illinois Senate race?
Juliana Stratton leads Don Tracy 49% to 36% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+13.0 margin based on 1 poll, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Illinois Senate race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Illinois Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed October 1, 2026), found Juliana Stratton (D) at 49% and Don Tracy (R) at 36%.
When is the 2026 Illinois Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Durbin retiring after long tenure
Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago
Top Spenders
- THE IMPACT FUND Dem-aligned $795,256
- PROTECT PROGRESS Dem-aligned $285,009
- PROGRESSIVE VALUES ILLINOIS Dem-aligned $197,726
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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