Illinois Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 17, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Juliana Stratton ✓ 507,689 40.7%
Raja Krishnamoorthi 411,150 32.9%
Robin Kelly 229,788 18.4%
Kevin Ryan 61,914 5.0%
Bryan Maxwell 10,070 0.8%
Awisi Bustos 8,020 0.6%
Christopher Swann 7,896 0.6%
Jonathan Dean 6,762 0.5%
Steve Botsford 5,411 0.4%

Republican Primary

Held March 17, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Don Tracy ✓ 215,523 42.3%
Jeannie Evans 122,840 24.1%
Casey Chlebek 60,222 11.8%
R. Cary Capparelli 56,907 11.2%
Pamela Denise Long 53,810 10.6%

Full calendar and every race: Illinois primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Dick Durbin)
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+13.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe D

Candidates

Juliana Stratton

Juliana Stratton Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $5,906,599
Cash on Hand: $1,107,958

Don Tracy Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $2,459,890
Cash on Hand: $1,512,424

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
49.0%
Republican
36.0%
Margin
D+13.0
Last Poll
Oct 1, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D ±2.0 2026-10-01 569 LV Juliana Stratton 49.00% Don Tracy 36.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Illinois Senate race?

Juliana Stratton leads Don Tracy 49% to 36% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+13.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Illinois Senate race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Illinois Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed October 1, 2026), found Juliana Stratton (D) at 49% and Don Tracy (R) at 36%.

When is the 2026 Illinois Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Durbin retiring after long tenure

Independent Expenditures Updated 48 min ago

$1,277,991
Total IE Spending
$1,277,991
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

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