ActiVote
8 scored general-election polls (2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8 | 5.3 pts | D+3.7 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-22 | NY Governor | D+10.0 | D+7.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-22 | NY Senate | D+20.0 | D+14.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | TX Governor | R+6.0 | R+10.9 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | PA Governor | D+8.0 | D+14.8 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | OH Governor | R+16.0 | R+25.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | FL Governor | R+12.0 | R+19.4 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-19 | NC Senate | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | CA Governor | D+22.0 | D+18.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.