Ohio Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 1 Special Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sherrod Brown ✓ 712,106 89.4%
Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.6%

Republican Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jon Husted ✓ 736,413 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jon Husted
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Special Note
Vance seat - appointed Jon Husted
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+2.7 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up
Changed from Lean R on Apr 12

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt R on Sep 2

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Leans R on Jun 10

Candidates

Jon Husted

Jon Husted Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $19,208,763
Cash on Hand: $8,883,293
Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $61,686,820
Cash on Hand: $4,861,452

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.7%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
D+2.7
Last Poll
Oct 6, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
co/efficient (R) partisan·R 2026-10-06 925 LV ±3.50 Sherrod Brown 45.00% Jon Husted 46.00%
SSRS 2026-10-05 760 LV ±4.50 Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
New York Times/Siena University 2024 err 3.1 2026-10-01 616 LV ±4.50 Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 46.00%
YouGov 2026-09-30 3780 LV ±2.50 Sherrod Brown 49.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
InsiderAdvantage (R) 2024 err 1.9 2026-09-29 1200 LV ±2.80 Sherrod Brown 44.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
Suffolk University 2026-09-27 500 LV ±4.40 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Big Data Poll (R) R-sponsored 2026-09-27 680 LV ±4.00 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
Marist University 2026-09-27 1298 RV ±3.80 Sherrod Brown 51.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
Rasmussen Reports (R) 2024 err 2.1 2026-09-23 1115 LV ±3.00 Sherrod Brown 46.00% Jon Husted 43.00%
Quantus Insights (R) partisan·R 2026-09-23 695 LV ±4.20 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 47.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Ohio Senate race?

Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted 47.7% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Ohio Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from co/efficient (R) (completed October 6, 2026), found Sherrod Brown (D) at 45% and Jon Husted (R) at 46%.

When is the 2026 Ohio Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This is a special election.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Vance vacated for VP; Husted appointed

Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago

$228,979,512
Total IE Spending
$61,739,702
Support
$167,239,810
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