Ohio Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 1 Special Election
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Sherrod Brown 712,106 89.4%
Ron Kincaid 84,405 10.6%

Republican Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jon Husted 736,413 100.0%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jon Husted
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Tilt R
Special Note
Vance seat - appointed Jon Husted
Polls
2 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+6.0 · 2 polls
⚑ Our polls diverge from the expert consensus — the story to watch.

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Lean R

Inside Elections

Toss-up
Changed from Tilt R on Sep 2

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up
Changed from Leans R on Jun 10

Candidates

Jon Husted

Jon Husted Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $14,360,028
Cash on Hand: $9,419,311
Sherrod Brown

Sherrod Brown Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $38,566,234
Cash on Hand: $16,229,741

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
50.5%
Republican
44.5%
Margin
D+6.0
Last Poll
Aug 13, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Wedgewood Polls 2026-08-13 800 LV ±4.00 Sherrod Brown 48.00% Jon Husted 44.00%
Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) ±2.3 2026-08-10 1008 RV ±3.00 Sherrod Brown 53.00% Jon Husted 45.00%
Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D 2026-08-04 600 LV ±4.00 Sherrod Brown 47.00% Jon Husted 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Ohio Senate race?

Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted 50.5% to 44.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.0 margin based on 2 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Ohio Senate race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible. Note: our polling average (Likely D) diverges from the expert consensus (Tilt R) — that gap makes this a race to watch.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Wedgewood Polls (completed August 13, 2026), found Sherrod Brown (D) at 48% and Jon Husted (R) at 44%.

When is the 2026 Ohio Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026. This is a special election.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Vance vacated for VP; Husted appointed

Independent Expenditures Updated 5 hours ago

$18,529,933
Total IE Spending
$7,973,791
Support
$10,556,142
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

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