State	EV	2024 Result	Senate Race
AL Alabama	9	Safe R	OPEN (Tommy Tuberville) Safe R
AK Alaska	3	Likely R	Dan Sullivan Safe R
AZ Arizona	11	Lean R	--
AR Arkansas	6	Safe R	Tom Cotton Safe R
CA California	54	Safe D	--
CO Colorado	10	Likely D	Michael Bennet Safe D
CT Connecticut	7	Likely D	--
DE Delaware	3	Likely D	Chris Coons Safe D
DC District of Columbia	3	Safe D	--
FL Florida	30	Likely R	OPEN (TBD) Likely R
GA Georgia	16	Tilt R	Jon Ossoff Lean D
HI Hawaii	4	Safe D	--
ID Idaho	4	Safe R	Jim Risch Safe R
IL Illinois	19	Likely D	OPEN (Dick Durbin) Safe D
IN Indiana	11	Safe R	--
IA Iowa	6	Likely R	OPEN (Joni Ernst) Safe R
KS Kansas	6	Safe R	Jerry Moran Safe R
KY Kentucky	8	Safe R	OPEN (Mitch McConnell) Safe R
LA Louisiana	8	Safe R	Bill Cassidy Safe R
ME Maine	4	Lean D	Susan Collins Toss-up
MD Maryland	10	Safe D	--
MA Massachusetts	11	Safe D	Ed Markey Safe D
MI Michigan	15	Tilt R	OPEN (Gary Peters) Toss-up
MN Minnesota	10	Tilt D	OPEN (Tina Smith) Lean D
MS Mississippi	6	Safe R	Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe R
MO Missouri	10	Safe R	--
MT Montana	4	Safe R	Steve Daines Safe R
NE Nebraska	5	Safe R	Pete Ricketts Lean R
NV Nevada	6	Tilt R	--
NH New Hampshire	4	Tilt D	OPEN (Jeanne Shaheen) Lean D
NJ New Jersey	14	Lean D	Cory Booker Safe D
NM New Mexico	5	Lean D	Martin Heinrich Safe D
NY New York	28	Likely D	--
NC North Carolina	16	Tilt R	OPEN (Thom Tillis) Lean R
ND North Dakota	3	Safe R	--
OH Ohio	17	Likely R	Jon Husted Lean R
OK Oklahoma	7	Safe R	James Lankford Safe R
OR Oregon	8	Likely D	Jeff Merkley Safe D
PA Pennsylvania	19	Tilt R	--
RI Rhode Island	4	Likely D	Jack Reed Safe D
SC South Carolina	9	Safe R	Lindsey Graham Safe R
SD South Dakota	3	Safe R	Mike Rounds Safe R
TN Tennessee	11	Safe R	Marsha Blackburn Safe R
TX Texas	40	Likely R	John Cornyn Safe R
UT Utah	6	Safe R	--
VT Vermont	3	Safe D	--
VA Virginia	13	Lean D	Mark Warner Safe D
WA Washington	12	Safe D	--
WV West Virginia	4	Safe R	Shelley Moore Capito Safe R
WI Wisconsin	10	Tilt R	--
WY Wyoming	3	Safe R	OPEN (Cynthia Lummis) Safe R

Latest Polls

National

Economist/YouGov

D+4
National

Harvard-Harris

D+4
National

Big Data Poll

D+13
National

Economist/YouGov

D+5
National

Marquette

D+1

Methodology

Race ratings are based on polling data, historical voting patterns, candidate quality, and expert analysis from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections.

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Races to Watch Updated 9 hours ago

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