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Polling Trends
46 Senate Seats 52
2
Safe D
Likely D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Likely R
Safe R
No Race
Senate
R 53 - D 47
House
R 220 - D 215
Election Day
197 days

Races to Watch Updated 19 hours ago

Maine Senate
R Susan Collins
Toss-up
Michigan Senate
D Gary Peters
Toss-up
AZ-01
R David Schweikert
Toss-up
AZ-06
R Juan Ciscomani
Toss-up
CA-13
D Adam Gray
Toss-up
CA-22
R David Valadao
Toss-up
CA-27
D George Whitesides
Toss-up
CA-45
D Derek Tran
Toss-up

Today's Sourcing

April 19, 2026
Top fundraiser: T. Ossoff $57.3M
See full daily briefing →

Latest Political News Updated 19 hours ago

Campaign

Obama ramps up pressure in Virginia redistricting battle: ‘We’re counting on you’

VA House
The Hill 1 days ago
General

Watch live: Trump to court young voters at Turning Point USA event in Arizona

AZ Senate
The Hill 1 days ago
General

Oklahoma voters to decide ballot measure to add voter ID requirement to the state constitution on Aug. 25, 2026

OK Senate
Ballotpedia News 1 days ago
General

Federal judge blocks Indiana law banning student ID for voting

IN House
Ballotpedia News 1 days ago
Campaign

Thirteen candidates are running in the Democratic primary for New Jersey’s 12th Congressional District on June 2, 2026

NJ House
Ballotpedia News 1 days ago
Campaign

Exploring how candidates get on your ballot

WA Senate
Ballotpedia News 1 days ago

State-by-State Overview

State EV 2024 Result Senate Race
AL Alabama 9 Safe R OPEN (Tommy Tuberville) Safe R
AK Alaska 3 Likely R Dan Sullivan Safe R
AZ Arizona 11 Lean R --
AR Arkansas 6 Safe R Tom Cotton Safe R
CA California 54 Safe D --
CO Colorado 10 Likely D Michael Bennet Safe D
CT Connecticut 7 Likely D --
DE Delaware 3 Likely D Chris Coons Safe D
DC District of Columbia 3 Safe D --
FL Florida 30 Likely R OPEN (TBD) Likely R
GA Georgia 16 Tilt R Jon Ossoff Lean D
HI Hawaii 4 Safe D --
ID Idaho 4 Safe R Jim Risch Safe R
IL Illinois 19 Likely D OPEN (Dick Durbin) Safe D
IN Indiana 11 Safe R --
IA Iowa 6 Likely R OPEN (Joni Ernst) Safe R
KS Kansas 6 Safe R Jerry Moran Safe R
KY Kentucky 8 Safe R OPEN (Mitch McConnell) Safe R
LA Louisiana 8 Safe R Bill Cassidy Safe R
ME Maine 4 Lean D Susan Collins Toss-up
MD Maryland 10 Safe D --
MA Massachusetts 11 Safe D Ed Markey Safe D
MI Michigan 15 Tilt R OPEN (Gary Peters) Toss-up
MN Minnesota 10 Tilt D OPEN (Tina Smith) Lean D
MS Mississippi 6 Safe R Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe R
MO Missouri 10 Safe R --
MT Montana 4 Safe R Steve Daines Safe R
NE Nebraska 5 Safe R Pete Ricketts Lean R
NV Nevada 6 Tilt R --
NH New Hampshire 4 Tilt D OPEN (Jeanne Shaheen) Lean D
NJ New Jersey 14 Lean D Cory Booker Safe D
NM New Mexico 5 Lean D Martin Heinrich Safe D
NY New York 28 Likely D --
NC North Carolina 16 Tilt R OPEN (Thom Tillis) Lean R
ND North Dakota 3 Safe R --
OH Ohio 17 Likely R Jon Husted Lean R
OK Oklahoma 7 Safe R James Lankford Safe R
OR Oregon 8 Likely D Jeff Merkley Safe D
PA Pennsylvania 19 Tilt R --
RI Rhode Island 4 Likely D Jack Reed Safe D
SC South Carolina 9 Safe R Lindsey Graham Safe R
SD South Dakota 3 Safe R Mike Rounds Safe R
TN Tennessee 11 Safe R Marsha Blackburn Safe R
TX Texas 40 Likely R John Cornyn Safe R
UT Utah 6 Safe R --
VT Vermont 3 Safe D --
VA Virginia 13 Lean D Mark Warner Safe D
WA Washington 12 Safe D --
WV West Virginia 4 Safe R Shelley Moore Capito Safe R
WI Wisconsin 10 Tilt R --
WY Wyoming 3 Safe R OPEN (Cynthia Lummis) Safe R

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Methodology

Race ratings are based on polling data, historical voting patterns, candidate quality, and expert analysis from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections.

Learn more about our methodology →

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