Primary
Democratic Runoff
Held June 27, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Davis ✓ | 156,782 | 79.9% | |
| Gary Crockett | 39,419 | 20.1% |
Republican Runoff
Held June 27, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Letlow ✓ | 179,996 | 56.9% | |
| John Fleming | 136,589 | 43.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Louisiana primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research Associates (D) | 2026-09-19 | 500 LV | ±4.50 | Jamie Davis 44.00% | Julia Letlow 48.00% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 D-sponsored | 2026-07-22 | 518 RV | Jamie Davis 37.00% | Julia Letlow 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Louisiana Senate race?
Julia Letlow leads Jamie Davis 44.5% to 40.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.0 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Louisiana Senate race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Louisiana Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hart Research Associates (D) (completed September 19, 2026), found Jamie Davis (D) at 44% and Julia Letlow (R) at 48%.
When is the 2026 Louisiana Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
PRIMARY DECIDED: Sen. Bill Cassidy was defeated in the May 16 closed primary, finishing third at 24.8%. Julia Letlow won the Republican runoff (56.9% over Fleming) and Jamie Davis the Democratic runoff (79.9% over Crockett); Letlow faces Davis on November 3. Two-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- ACCOUNTABILITY PROJECT INC GOP-aligned $9,134,895
- LOUISIANA FREEDOM FUND Dem-aligned $9,076,814
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $1,074,972
- CONSERVATIVES FOR A BETTER TOMORROW INC. Dem-aligned $700,000
- FELLOWSHIP PAC GOP-aligned $600,000
- CLEARPATH ACTION FUND, INC. GOP-aligned $597,710
- MAHA PAC Dem-aligned $543,043
- HIGH PLAINS PAC GOP-aligned $365,000
- SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOM GOP-aligned $294,500
- RED BAYOU PAC GOP-aligned $14,016
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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