Texas Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Gina Hinojosa 1,289,576 58.5%
Chris Bell 216,787 9.8%
Angela "Tia Angie" Villescaz 150,752 6.8%
Patricia Abrego 128,632 5.8%
Andrew White 117,392 5.3%
Bobby Cole 112,675 5.1%
Jose Navarro Balbuena 65,826 3.0%
Carlton W. Hart 63,278 2.9%
Zach Vance 58,753 2.7%

Republican Primary

Held March 3, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Greg Abbott 1,764,924 81.8%
Pete "Doc" Chambers 240,640 11.2%
Evelyn Brooks 44,142 2.0%
Arturo Espinosa 23,444 1.1%
Charles Andrew Crouch 15,405 0.7%
Kenneth Hyde 14,941 0.7%
Nathaniel Welch 12,057 0.6%
Mark V. Goloby 10,991 0.5%
Stephen Samuelson 10,864 0.5%
Ronnie Tullos 10,352 0.5%
R.F. "Bob" Achgill 9,119 0.4%

Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Greg Abbott
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean R our polls experts: Safe R
Polls
4 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+3.0 · 4 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Gina Hinojosa

Gina Hinojosa Nominee

Democrat

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.0%
Republican
49.0%
Margin
R+3.0
Last Poll
Sep 4, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Univision/YouGov 2026-09-04 1000 RV ±3.60 Gina Hinojosa 47.00% Greg Abbott 47.00%
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research ±1.9 2026-09-01 895 LV Gina Hinojosa 46.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
Overton Insights (R) R-sponsored 2026-08-26 1167 LV ±2.90 Gina Hinojosa 49.00% Greg Abbott 51.00%
TPOR 2026-08-24 LV Gina Hinojosa 42.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%
Texas Public Opinion Research 2026-08-24 1000 LV ±3.30 Gina Hinojosa 42.00% Greg Abbott 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Texas governor's race?

Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa 49% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+3.0 margin based on 4 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Texas governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Texas governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Univision/YouGov (completed September 4, 2026), found Gina Hinojosa (D) at 47% and Greg Abbott (R) at 47%.

When is the 2026 Texas governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Seeking third term

Race News