Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gina Hinojosa ✓ | 1,285,334 | 58.5% | |
| Chris Bell | 215,832 | 9.8% | |
| Angela "Tia Angie" Villescaz | 150,333 | 6.9% | |
| Patricia Abrego | 128,193 | 5.8% | |
| Andrew White | 116,897 | 5.3% | |
| Bobby Cole | 112,318 | 5.1% | |
| Jose Navarro Balbuena | 65,597 | 3.0% | |
| Carlton W. Hart | 63,106 | 2.9% | |
| Zach Vance | 58,574 | 2.7% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Abbott ✓ | 1,759,888 | 81.8% | |
| Pete "Doc" Chambers | 240,342 | 11.2% | |
| Evelyn Brooks | 43,998 | 2.0% | |
| Arturo Espinosa | 24,674 | 1.2% | |
| Charles Andrew Crouch | 15,389 | 0.7% | |
| Kenneth Hyde | 14,916 | 0.7% | |
| Nathaniel Welch | 12,027 | 0.6% | |
| Mark V. Goloby | 10,966 | 0.5% | |
| Stephen Samuelson | 10,842 | 0.5% | |
| Ronnie Tullos | 10,313 | 0.5% | |
| R.F. "Bob" Achgill | 9,078 | 0.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Greg Abbott Nominee Incumbent
Republican
Gina Hinojosa Nominee
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote | 2026-10-14 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Gina Hinojosa 49.00% | Greg Abbott 51.00% |
| Marist University | 2026-10-11 | LV | ±4.90 | Gina Hinojosa 45.00% | Greg Abbott 49.00% |
| ReconMR/Siena University | 2026-10-08 | 617 LV | ±4.40 | Gina Hinojosa 47.00% | Greg Abbott 48.00% |
| GBAO (D) partisan·D | 2026-10-08 | 800 LV | ±3.50 | Gina Hinojosa 47.00% | Greg Abbott 45.00% |
| University of Texas/Texas Politics Project | 2026-10-05 | 861 LV | ±3.30 | Gina Hinojosa 49.00% | Greg Abbott 48.00% |
| YouGov | 2026-10-05 | 3625 LV | ±3.00 | Gina Hinojosa 48.00% | Greg Abbott 47.00% |
| New York Times/Siena University 2024 err 3.1 | 2026-10-01 | 615 LV | ±2.10 | Gina Hinojosa 49.00% | Greg Abbott 46.00% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 2026-09-28 | 850 LV | Gina Hinojosa 44.00% | Greg Abbott 48.00% | |
| Beacon Research (D)/ Shaw & Co. Research (R) 2024 err 2.3 | 2026-09-28 | 1005 LV | ±3.00 | Gina Hinojosa 47.00% | Greg Abbott 52.00% |
| Big Data Poll | 2026-09-26 | 698 LV | ±4.00 | Hinojosa 44.00% | Abbott 49.00% |
| Stratus Intelligence (R) partisan·R | 2026-09-24 | 865 LV | ±3.50 | Gina Hinojosa 45.00% | Greg Abbott 50.00% |
| Texas Public Opinion Research | 2026-09-22 | 1007 LV | ±3.60 | Gina Hinojosa 46.00% | Greg Abbott 50.00% |
| Marist University | 2026-09-20 | 1139 RV | ±4.40 | Gina Hinojosa 49.00% | Greg Abbott 46.00% |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 2026-09-19 | 1800 LV | Gina Hinojosa 45.00% | Greg Abbott 49.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Texas governor's race?
Greg Abbott leads Gina Hinojosa 49.3% to 47% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Texas governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Texas governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from ActiVote (completed October 14, 2026), found Gina Hinojosa (D) at 49% and Greg Abbott (R) at 51%.
When is the 2026 Texas governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Seeking third term
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