UMass Lowell
7 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7 | 3.6 pts | D+3.6 | 57% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-23 | NH President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-23 | NH President | D+7.0 | D+2.8 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-23 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-23 | PA President | D+1.0 | R+1.7 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-09 | PA President | D+1.0 | R+1.7 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-08 | NH President | D+9.0 | D+2.8 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-19 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.