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Slingshot Strategies partisan·D

3 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2022 1 1.3 pts R+1.3 100%
2018 2 4.8 pts D+4.8 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2022-10-25 NY Governor D+6.0 D+7.3 1.3 ✓
2018-11-01 ME Governor D+17.0 D+7.7 9.3 ✓
2018-09-28 ME Governor D+8.0 D+7.7 0.3 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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