Primary
Primary election: Thursday, August 6, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term Class II incumbent (Blackburn, running for governor, holds the 2030 seat)
Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago
Top Spenders
- NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUND $275,000
- WINNING RIGHT PAC $220,000
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND $182,868
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION $57,741
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →