Tennessee Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 6, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Marquita Bradshaw 193,734 70.2%
Maria Brewer 64,549 23.4%
Civil Miller-Watkins 17,590 6.4%

Full calendar and every race: Tennessee primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Bill Hagerty
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid R

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe R

Candidates

Bill Hagerty

Bill Hagerty Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $7,162,897
Cash on Hand: $5,234,429
Marquita Bradshaw

Marquita Bradshaw Nominee

Democrat

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 Tennessee Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term Class II incumbent (Blackburn, running for governor, holds the 2030 seat)

Independent Expenditures Updated 31 min ago

$756,048
Total IE Spending
$756,048
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News