Nebraska Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Lynne Walz ✓ 116,458 91.5%
Larry Marvin 10,847 8.5%

Republican Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jim Pillen ✓ 142,301 75.4%
John Walz 18,066 9.6%
Sheila Korth-Focken 14,621 7.8%
Gary Rogge 6,986 3.7%
Jacy Todd 5,125 2.7%
Sal Holguin 1,612 0.9%

Legal Marijuana Now Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Rick Beard ✓ 349 69.1%
James Charvat 156 30.9%

Full calendar and every race: Nebraska primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jim Pillen
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Likely R
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+1.3 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely R

Inside Elections

Likely Republican
Changed from Solid Republican on Oct 14

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Republican

Candidates

Jim Pillen

Jim Pillen Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Lynne Walz Nominee

Democrat

Rick Beard Nominee

Independent

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
41.0%
Republican
42.3%
Margin
R+1.3
Latest poll in average
Oct 18, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Ind Rep
Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) D-sponsored In average 2026-10-18 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Lynne Walz 43.00% Rick Beard Jim Pillen 40.00%
National Public Affairs R-sponsored In average 2026-10-18 this poll 598 LV ±4.00 Lynne Walz 41.00% Rick Beard 3.00% Jim Pillen 47.00%
Global Strategy Group (D) D-sponsored In average 2026-10-18 this poll 800 LV ±3.50 Lynne Walz 39.00% Rick Beard Jim Pillen 40.00%
Public Policy Polling (D) D-sponsored missed 2024 by 2.0 pts Not in average 2026-10-14 this poll 571 RV ±4.10 Lynne Walz 46.00% Rick Beard Jim Pillen 48.00%
National Public Affairs R-sponsored Not in average 2026-10-05 this poll 800 LV Lynne Walz 40.00% Rick Beard 5.00% Jim Pillen 44.00%
YouGov Not in average 2026-10-03 this poll 1809 LV ±3.30 Lynne Walz 43.00% Rick Beard Jim Pillen 44.00%
co/efficient R-sponsored Not in average 2026-09-30 this poll 1113 LV ±2.92 Lynne Walz 38.00% Rick Beard 3.00% Jim Pillen 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nebraska governor's race?

Jim Pillen leads Lynne Walz 42.3% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Nebraska governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nebraska governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Concord Public Opinion Partners (D) (completed October 18, 2026), found Lynne Walz (D) at 43% and Jim Pillen (R) at 40%.

When is the 2026 Nebraska governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

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