Primary
Primary held March 3, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hallie Shoffner ✓ | 102,289 | 78.3% | |
| Ethan Dunbar | 28,394 | 21.7% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Cotton ✓ | 230,209 | 81.6% | |
| Micah Ashby | 26,040 | 9.2% | |
| Jeb Little | 25,724 | 9.1% |
Full calendar and every race: Arkansas primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Tom Cotton Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanAverage reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 Arkansas Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
When is the 2026 Arkansas Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Two-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- AMERICA ONE $2,404,876
- ARKANSANS FOR DEMOCRACY AND JUSTICE $179,900
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →