Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Roth ✓ | 29,534 | 61.9% | |
| Brad Moore | 14,863 | 31.1% | |
| Nickolas Bonds | 3,344 | 7.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Risch ✓ | 156,140 | 67.3% | |
| Josh Roy | 33,188 | 14.3% | |
| Joe Evans | 32,636 | 14.1% | |
| Denny LaVe | 10,182 | 4.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Idaho primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group | 2026-06-01 | 774 RV | ±3.50 | David Roth 15.00% | Jim Risch 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Idaho Senate race?
Jim Risch leads David Jordan Roth 41% to 15% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+26.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 Idaho Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Idaho Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from The Bullfinch Group (completed June 1, 2026), found David Roth (D) at 15% and Jim Risch (R) at 41%.
When is the 2026 Idaho Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Three-term incumbent
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