Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Booker ✓ | 155,577 | 48.8% | |
| Amy McGrath | 119,296 | 37.4% | |
| Pamela Stevenson | 20,610 | 6.5% | |
| Dale Lewis Romans | 13,696 | 4.3% | |
| Logan Forsythe | 9,648 | 3.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Barr ✓ | 283,833 | 64.6% | |
| Daniel Cameron | 144,592 | 32.9% | |
| Michael James Faris | 11,219 | 2.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Kentucky primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-27 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Charles Booker 40.00% | Andy Barr 49.00% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2025-12-19 | 650 V | Charles Booker 40.00% | Andy Barr 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Kentucky Senate race?
Andy Barr leads Charles Booker 45% to 40% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+5.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 Kentucky Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Kentucky Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed August 27, 2026), found Charles Booker (D) at 40% and Andy Barr (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 Kentucky Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
McConnell retiring after historic tenure
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- KEEP AMERICA GREAT PAC, INC. Mixed $13,941,003
- FIGHT FOR KENTUCKY GOP-aligned $13,434,655
- WIN IT BACK PAC Dem-aligned $4,398,324
- KY PAC Dem-aligned $3,843,911
- RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $1,672,640
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $868,904
- FELLOWSHIP PAC GOP-aligned $850,000
- PROTECT AND SERVE PAC GOP-aligned $244,936
- COMMONWEALTH COURAGE PAC Dem-aligned $149,395
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND GOP-aligned $130,315
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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