Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 4, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-06-16 | 996 LV | ±3.70 | Mark Warner 51.00% | Kim Farington 33.00% |
| The Public Sentiment Institute/ Virginia Project (R) partisan·R | 2026-05-05 | 1047 LV | ±3.70 | Mark Warner 54.00% | Kim Farington 29.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Virginia Senate race?
Mark Warner leads Kim Farington 52.5% to 31% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+21.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Virginia Senate race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Virginia Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from The Public Sentiment Institute (completed June 16, 2026), found Mark Warner (D) at 51% and Kim Farington (R) at 33%.
When is the 2026 Virginia Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Three-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC $45,500
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