Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 in 5 days
Full calendar and every race: New Hampshire primary guide
Race Overview
These polls test pre-primary pairings. The primary is Tuesday, September 8, 2026; nominees are not locked. The PollingSource average is an average of those polls, not a forecast.
Candidates
Primary field — nominees are not locked until Tuesday, September 8, 2026.
David Jarvis
DemocratJohn Vail
DemocratMaxwell L. Saal
Democrat
Andy Martin
RepublicanMary Maxwell
RepublicanRichard A. McMenamon II
RepublicanSabrina Ann Smith
Republican
Sky Danley
RepublicanTom Alciere
RepublicanAverage reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race?
The primary is Tuesday, September 8, 2026; nominees are not locked. Listed poll pairings are pre-primary tests, not a general-election matchup. There is no PollingSource average for a locked general pairing yet.
Is the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.
When is the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Shaheen retiring after 3 terms
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $4,961,709
- STRONG AS GRANITE PAC Dem-aligned $130,636
- WINSENATE Dem-aligned $50,000
- THE CONSERVATIVE CAUCUS DBA AMERICANS FOR CONSTITUTIONAL LIBERTY GOP-aligned $30,399
- SLF PAC GOP-aligned $11,166
- CITIZENS AGAINST AIPAC CORRUPTION Mixed $5,665
- TURNING POINT PAC INC. GOP-aligned $5,570
- FORWARD BLUE Dem-aligned $1,000
- DMFI PAC Dem-aligned $938
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $251
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →