Oregon Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jeff Merkley ✓ 457,006 93.2%
Paul D. Wells 30,544 6.2%

Republican Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
David Brock Smith ✓ 107,953 52.1%
Jo Rae Perkins 99,278 47.9%

Full calendar and every race: Oregon primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Jeff Merkley
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D expert avg

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe D

Candidates

Jeff Merkley

Jeff Merkley Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Total Raised: $5,206,884
Cash on Hand: $6,819,050

David Brock Smith Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $290,738
Cash on Hand: $50,029

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 Oregon Senate race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.

When is the 2026 Oregon Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Three-term incumbent

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$25,120
Total IE Spending
$25,120
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

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Race News

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