Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held June 23, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Blakeman ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Kathy Hochul Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
Bruce Blakeman Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ActiVote In average | 2026-10-23 this poll | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Kathy Hochul 59.00% | Bruce Blakeman 41.00% |
| Quinnipiac University missed 2024 by 3.0 pts In average | 2026-10-19 this poll | 1167 LV | ±3.80 | Kathy Hochul 55.00% | Bruce Blakeman 41.00% |
| Pollfinity Research In average | 2026-10-12 this poll | 499 RV | ±4.80 | Kathy Hochul 47.00% | Bruce Blakeman 44.00% |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) R-sponsored Not in average | 2026-10-06 this poll | 1000 LV | ±2.80 | Kathy Hochul 50.00% | Bruce Blakeman 46.00% |
| Beacon Research (D) D-sponsored Not in average | 2026-10-06 this poll | 820 RV | ±3.50 | Kathy Hochul 53.00% | Bruce Blakeman 31.00% |
| Emerson College missed 2024 by 2.7 pts Not in average | 2026-10-05 this poll | 900 LV | ±3.30 | Kathy Hochul 52.40% | Bruce Blakeman 39.70% |
| Marist missed 2024 by 4.3 pts Not in average | 2026-10-04 this poll | 1361 RV | ±3.60 | Kathy Hochul 53.00% | Bruce Blakeman 42.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New York governor's race?
Kathy Hochul leads Bruce Blakeman 53.7% to 42% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+11.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 New York governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 New York governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from ActiVote (completed October 23, 2026), found Kathy Hochul (D) at 59% and Bruce Blakeman (R) at 41%.
When is the 2026 New York governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Seeking second full term
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