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Beacon Research partisan·D

7 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2022 1 7.9 pts D+7.9 100%
2020 6 9.8 pts — 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2022-10-17 TX Governor R+3.0 R+10.9 7.9 ✓
2020-10-14 PR-1 House D+18.0 D+9.0 9.0 ✓
2020-10-14 PR Governor D+5.0 D+1.5 3.5 ✓
2020-10-03 PR-1 House D+25.0 D+9.0 16.0 ✓
2020-10-03 PR Governor D+7.0 D+1.5 5.5 ✓
2020-09-16 PR-1 House D+33.0 D+9.0 24.0 ✓
2020-09-16 PR Governor D+2.0 D+1.5 0.5 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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