Quinnipiac
183 scored general-election polls (2014–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | 3.0 pts | D+1.9 | 50% |
| 2022 | 12 | 4.1 pts | D+3.0 | 100% |
| 2020 | 35 | 8.3 pts | D+8.3 | 59% |
| 2018 | 23 | 4.6 pts | D+0.4 | 74% |
| 2017 | 7 | 4.7 pts | D+4.1 | 100% |
| 2016 | 50 | 4.6 pts | D+3.7 | 72% |
| 2014 | 35 | 5.1 pts | D+0.8 | 77% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-28 | PA President | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-28 | PA President | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-21 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-10-21 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-10-21 | MI President | D+4.0 | R+1.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-14 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+3.2 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-14 | GA President | R+6.0 | R+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | WI President | R+2.0 | R+0.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | MI President | R+4.0 | R+1.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | PA President | D+3.0 | R+1.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-29 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-29 | GA President | R+5.0 | R+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-22 | National President | Even | R+1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| 2024-09-16 | WI President | D+1.0 | R+0.9 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-16 | MI President | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-16 | PA President | D+6.0 | R+1.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-08 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+3.2 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-08 | GA President | R+3.0 | R+2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-27 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-12 | PA President | D+3.0 | R+1.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-21 | National President | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | National Generic Ballot | R+4.0 | R+2.6 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-21 | CT Governor | D+15.0 | D+11.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-21 | CT Senate | D+15.0 | D+13.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-14 | NY Governor | D+4.0 | D+7.3 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-14 | NY Senate | D+12.0 | D+14.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-09 | GA Governor | R+1.0 | R+7.5 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-09 | GA Senate | D+7.0 | D+1.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-24 | TX Governor | R+7.0 | R+10.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | CT Governor | D+17.0 | D+11.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | CT Senate | D+17.0 | D+13.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-10 | GA Governor | R+2.0 | R+7.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-10 | GA Senate | D+6.0 | D+1.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | OH President | D+4.0 | R+8.0 | 12.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | IA Senate | R+2.0 | R+6.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | OH President | D+5.0 | R+8.0 | 13.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | IA President | R+1.0 | R+8.2 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | FL President | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | TX Senate | R+6.0 | R+9.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | TX President | Even | R+5.6 | 5.6 | — |
| 2020-10-18 | PA President | D+8.0 | D+1.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | GA Senate | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | 7.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-10 | OH President | D+1.0 | R+8.0 | 9.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-10 | GA President | D+7.0 | D+0.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | IA Senate | D+5.0 | R+6.6 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | PA President | D+13.0 | D+1.2 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | IA President | D+5.0 | R+8.2 | 13.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | FL President | D+11.0 | R+3.4 | 14.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-25 | SC Senate | Even | R+10.3 | 10.3 | — |
| 2020-09-25 | GA Senate | D+1.0 | R+1.8 | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-25 | SC President | R+1.0 | R+11.7 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | GA President | D+3.0 | D+0.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-19 | TX Senate | R+8.0 | R+9.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-19 | TX President | R+5.0 | R+5.6 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-19 | OH President | D+1.0 | R+8.0 | 9.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-19 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | M2 President | D+9.0 | R+7.4 | 16.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-12 | M1 President | D+32.0 | D+23.1 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | SC Senate | Even | R+10.3 | 10.3 | — |
| 2020-09-12 | ME Senate | D+12.0 | R+8.6 | 20.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-12 | KY Senate | R+12.0 | R+19.5 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | SC President | R+6.0 | R+11.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | ME President | D+21.0 | D+9.1 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | KY President | R+20.0 | R+25.9 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-01 | FL Governor | D+7.0 | R+0.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-01 | NJ Senate | D+15.0 | D+11.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-01 | FL Senate | D+7.0 | R+0.1 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-25 | TX Governor | R+14.0 | R+13.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | CT Governor | D+4.0 | D+3.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | TX Senate | R+5.0 | R+2.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | CT Senate | D+15.0 | D+17.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-19 | FL Governor | D+6.0 | R+0.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-19 | FL Senate | D+6.0 | R+0.1 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-13 | NY Governor | D+23.0 | D+24.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-13 | NY Senate | D+25.0 | D+33.4 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-13 | NJ Senate | D+7.0 | D+11.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-06 | TX Governor | R+20.0 | R+13.3 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-06 | TX Senate | R+9.0 | R+2.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-05 | CT Governor | D+8.0 | D+3.7 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-05 | CT Senate | D+15.0 | D+17.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-29 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.0 | D+8.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-29 | NJ Senate | D+11.0 | D+11.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-22 | FL Governor | D+9.0 | R+0.4 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-22 | FL Senate | D+7.0 | R+0.1 | 7.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-14 | TX Governor | R+19.0 | R+13.3 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-14 | TX Senate | R+9.0 | R+2.6 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-08 | National Generic Ballot | D+14.0 | D+8.5 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2017-11-02 | NJ Governor | D+12.0 | D+14.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2017-11-02 | VA Governor | D+9.0 | D+8.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2017-10-27 | VA Governor | D+17.0 | D+8.9 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2017-10-21 | NJ Governor | D+20.0 | D+14.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2017-10-14 | VA Governor | D+14.0 | D+8.9 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2017-09-16 | VA Governor | D+10.0 | D+8.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2017-09-09 | NJ Governor | D+25.0 | D+14.1 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-05 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+3.7 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-05 | FL President | D+1.0 | R+1.2 | 2.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-05 | FL Senate | R+7.0 | R+7.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-05 | NC Senate | Even | R+5.7 | 5.7 | — |
| 2016-11-05 | NC Governor | D+3.0 | D+0.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | PA President | D+5.0 | R+0.7 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | OH President | R+5.0 | R+8.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+3.7 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | FL President | D+1.0 | R+1.2 | 2.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | FL Senate | R+6.0 | R+7.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | PA Senate | D+1.0 | R+1.4 | 2.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | OH Senate | R+18.0 | R+20.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | NC Senate | D+4.0 | R+5.7 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | NC Governor | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | VA President | D+12.0 | D+5.3 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | NC President | D+4.0 | R+3.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-23 | IA President | Even | R+9.4 | 9.4 | — |
| 2016-10-23 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+5.1 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | IA Senate | R+18.0 | R+24.4 | 6.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | GA Senate | R+14.0 | R+13.8 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | NC Senate | R+1.0 | R+5.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-23 | NC Governor | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | National President | D+7.0 | D+2.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | PA President | D+6.0 | R+0.7 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-13 | OH President | Even | R+8.1 | 8.1 | — |
| 2016-10-13 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+1.2 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-13 | CO President | D+8.0 | D+4.9 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | FL Senate | R+2.0 | R+7.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | PA Senate | R+4.0 | R+1.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | CO Senate | D+18.0 | D+5.7 | 12.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | OH Senate | R+13.0 | R+20.9 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-05 | National President | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | PA President | D+4.0 | R+0.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-29 | OH President | R+5.0 | R+8.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+3.7 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-29 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+1.2 | 6.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-29 | FL Senate | R+4.0 | R+7.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | PA Senate | R+8.0 | R+1.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | OH Senate | R+17.0 | R+20.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-29 | NC Senate | Even | R+5.7 | 5.7 | — |
| 2016-09-29 | NC Governor | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-24 | National President | D+1.0 | D+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | VA President | D+6.0 | D+5.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | IA President | R+7.0 | R+9.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | GA President | R+7.0 | R+5.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | CO President | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | IA Senate | R+12.0 | R+24.4 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | GA Senate | R+21.0 | R+13.8 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | CO Senate | D+9.0 | D+5.7 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-10 | National President | D+2.0 | D+2.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-30 | FL Governor | D+1.0 | R+1.1 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-30 | CO Governor | R+2.0 | D+3.3 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-30 | IA Governor | R+11.0 | R+21.7 | 10.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-30 | CT Governor | D+1.0 | D+2.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-30 | IA Senate | Even | R+8.3 | 8.3 | — |
| 2014-10-30 | CO Senate | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-24 | FL Governor | D+3.0 | R+1.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-24 | CO Governor | R+5.0 | D+3.3 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-24 | IA Governor | R+19.0 | R+21.7 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-24 | CT Governor | Even | D+2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| 2014-10-24 | IA Senate | R+4.0 | R+8.3 | 4.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-24 | CO Senate | R+7.0 | R+1.9 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | CO Governor | D+1.0 | D+3.3 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | IA Governor | R+18.0 | R+21.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | IA Senate | R+2.0 | R+8.3 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | CO Senate | R+5.0 | R+1.9 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-17 | FL Governor | Even | R+1.1 | 1.1 | — |
| 2014-10-17 | CT Governor | D+1.0 | D+2.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-10 | CO Governor | R+4.0 | D+3.3 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-10 | IA Governor | R+15.0 | R+21.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-10 | IA Senate | R+2.0 | R+8.3 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-10 | CO Senate | R+6.0 | R+1.9 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-03 | NY Governor | D+20.0 | D+14.7 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-03 | CT Governor | Even | D+2.3 | 2.3 | — |
| 2014-10-02 | PA Governor | D+17.0 | D+9.9 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-27 | NJ Senate | D+11.0 | D+13.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-26 | OH Governor | R+22.0 | R+30.6 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-19 | FL Governor | R+2.0 | R+1.1 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-19 | VA Senate | D+9.0 | D+0.8 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-12 | CO Governor | R+10.0 | D+3.3 | 13.3 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-12 | IA Governor | R+23.0 | R+21.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-12 | IA Senate | R+6.0 | R+8.3 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-12 | CO Senate | R+8.0 | R+1.9 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-05 | PA Governor | D+24.0 | D+9.9 | 14.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-05 | CT Governor | R+6.0 | D+2.3 | 8.3 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.