Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ned Lamont ✓ | 125,831 | 67.8% | |
| Josh Elliott | 59,716 | 32.2% |
Republican Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Fazio ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Connecticut primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Ned Lamont Nominee Incumbent
DemocratRyan Fazio Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GreatBlue Research In average | 2026-10-12 this poll | 1000 LV | ±3.10 | Ned Lamont 59.30% | Ryan Fazio 32.70% |
| Wesleyan University/YouGov In average | 2026-10-12 this poll | LV | Ned Lamont 57.00% | Ryan Fazio 34.00% | |
| Quinnipiac University missed 2024 by 3.0 pts In average | 2026-10-12 this poll | 1225 LV | ±3.80 | Ned Lamont 58.00% | Ryan Fazio 38.00% |
| Emerson College missed 2024 by 2.7 pts Not in average | 2026-10-12 this poll | 800 LV | ±3.50 | Ned Lamont 51.40% | Ryan Fazio 37.80% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Connecticut governor's race?
Ned Lamont leads Ryan Fazio 58.1% to 34.9% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+23.2 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Connecticut governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Connecticut governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from GreatBlue Research (completed October 12, 2026), found Ned Lamont (D) at 59.3% and Ryan Fazio (R) at 32.7%.
When is the 2026 Connecticut governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
No gubernatorial term limits in CT; Lamont seeking re-election
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