Emerson College
417 scored general-election polls (2014–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 88 | 2.7 pts | D+1.8 | 82% |
| 2022 | 86 | 3.8 pts | R+0.6 | 85% |
| 2021 | 5 | 3.3 pts | D+3.3 | 60% |
| 2020 | 50 | 4.3 pts | D+3.4 | 65% |
| 2018 | 88 | 5.1 pts | R+0.2 | 85% |
| 2017 | 9 | 6.5 pts | R+6.1 | 56% |
| 2016 | 83 | 5.0 pts | D+1.5 | 70% |
| 2014 | 8 | 10.3 pts | R+10.3 | 50% |
Recent 2026 polls
The firm's polls from the last 30 days (results aren't in yet, so these aren't scored — see the 2026 vs.-consensus column on the summary).
| Date | Race | Sample | Matchup | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | National Generic Ballot | 1000 LV | Democrats 51.00% – Republicans 43.00% | D+8.0 |
| 2026-08-10 | TX Senate | 1000 LV | James Talarico 46.00% – Ken Paxton 47.00% | R+1.0 |
| 2026-08-10 | TX Governor | 1000 LV | Gina Hinojosa 45.00% – Greg Abbott 49.00% | R+4.0 |
| 2026-08-04 | IA Governor | 712 LV | Rob Sand 48.00% – Zach Lahn 43.00% | D+5.0 |
| 2026-08-04 | IA Senate | 712 LV | Josh Turek 45.00% – Ashley Hinson 48.00% | R+3.0 |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-02 | OH President | R+12.0 | R+11.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | OH President | R+12.0 | R+11.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | NV President | Even | R+3.1 | 3.1 | — |
| 2024-11-02 | NV President | Even | R+3.1 | 3.1 | — |
| 2024-11-02 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | AZ President | R+2.0 | R+5.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | AZ President | R+2.0 | R+5.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-11-02 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-11-02 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | IA President | R+10.0 | R+13.2 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-11-02 | National President | Even | R+1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| 2024-11-02 | National President | Even | R+1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| 2024-10-31 | NV President | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-27 | MI President | R+1.0 | R+1.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-25 | MT President | R+19.0 | R+19.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-25 | MT President | R+19.0 | R+19.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-24 | National President | Even | R+1.5 | 1.5 | — |
| 2024-10-23 | NH President | D+3.0 | D+2.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-23 | NH President | D+3.0 | D+2.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-22 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-22 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-22 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-21 | MD President | D+30.0 | D+28.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-21 | TX President | R+7.0 | R+13.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-20 | FL President | R+8.0 | R+13.1 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-20 | FL President | R+8.0 | R+13.1 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-16 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-14 | CA President | D+24.0 | D+20.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-08 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-08 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-08 | NV President | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-08 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-08 | AZ President | R+2.0 | R+5.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-08 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-10-08 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-10-02 | MI President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-02 | MI President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-01 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-28 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-09-28 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-28 | AZ President | R+3.0 | R+5.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-25 | NY President | D+14.0 | D+12.6 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | VA President | D+8.0 | D+5.8 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | TX President | R+5.0 | R+13.7 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-18 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-18 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+3.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-18 | NV President | Even | R+3.1 | 3.1 | — |
| 2024-09-18 | GA President | R+3.0 | R+2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-18 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-18 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-18 | MI President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-13 | MO President | R+10.0 | R+18.4 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-13 | MD President | D+31.0 | D+28.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-13 | IN President | R+17.0 | R+19.0 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-05 | CA President | D+24.0 | D+20.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-05 | TX President | R+4.0 | R+13.7 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-05 | OH President | R+10.0 | R+11.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-05 | FL President | R+5.0 | R+13.1 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-04 | National President | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-28 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-08-28 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-28 | NV President | D+1.0 | R+3.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-28 | GA President | D+1.0 | R+2.2 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-28 | AZ President | R+3.0 | R+5.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-28 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-28 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-22 | NM President | D+10.0 | D+6.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-14 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-08-14 | National President | D+4.0 | R+1.5 | 5.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-06 | MT President | R+15.0 | R+19.9 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-28 | NH President | D+4.0 | D+2.8 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-23 | GA President | R+2.0 | R+2.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-23 | AZ President | R+5.0 | R+5.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-23 | WI President | Even | R+0.9 | 0.9 | — |
| 2024-07-23 | MI President | R+1.0 | R+1.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-23 | PA President | R+2.0 | R+1.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-08 | National President | R+6.0 | R+1.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-19 | NV President | R+9.0 | R+3.1 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-19 | AZ President | R+8.0 | R+5.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-16 | PA President | R+9.0 | R+1.7 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-16 | NC President | R+9.0 | R+3.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-16 | GA President | R+10.0 | R+2.2 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-02-14 | National President | R+3.0 | R+1.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-29 | GA Senate | D+1.6 | D+2.8 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | OR Governor | D+5.5 | D+3.4 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | OH Governor | R+20.8 | R+25.0 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | NH Governor | R+20.8 | R+15.5 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | AZ Governor | R+3.5 | D+0.7 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-31 | OR Senate | D+17.0 | D+14.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | OH Senate | R+8.9 | R+6.1 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | NH Senate | D+4.5 | D+9.1 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-31 | AZ Senate | R+0.4 | D+4.9 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-30 | PA Governor | D+10.4 | D+14.8 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | NY Governor | D+8.7 | D+7.3 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | MI Governor | D+5.1 | D+10.5 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | GA Governor | R+5.6 | R+7.5 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | PA Senate | R+1.1 | D+4.9 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-30 | NY Senate | D+18.5 | D+14.0 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-30 | GA Senate | D+1.9 | D+1.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV-4 House | D+3.3 | D+4.8 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV-3 House | R+4.2 | D+4.0 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV-2 House | R+25.7 | R+21.9 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV-1 House | R+11.6 | D+5.6 | 17.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | WI Governor | R+1.9 | D+3.4 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV Governor | R+4.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | KS Governor | D+4.6 | D+2.2 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | CO Governor | D+13.4 | D+19.4 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | WI Senate | R+4.6 | R+1.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NC Senate | R+5.7 | R+3.2 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NV Senate | R+5.2 | D+0.8 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | KS Senate | R+21.6 | R+23.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | CO Senate | D+8.1 | D+14.6 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | OK Senate | R+22.6 | R+26.5 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | NM-3 House | D+18.1 | D+16.3 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | NM-2 House | R+10.6 | D+0.7 | 11.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-27 | NM-1 House | D+11.4 | D+11.5 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | OK Governor | R+9.6 | R+13.7 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | NM Governor | D+1.6 | D+6.4 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | UT Senate | D+9.8 | D+10.4 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | OK Senate | R+27.3 | R+32.2 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-27 | MO Senate | R+13.5 | R+13.3 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | NY Governor | D+7.2 | D+7.3 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | IL Governor | D+9.3 | D+12.5 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | NY Senate | D+13.2 | D+14.0 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | IL Senate | D+9.8 | D+15.3 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-20 | SD-1 House | D+43.0 | D+54.8 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-20 | CT-5 House | R+0.7 | D+0.2 | 0.9 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-20 | SD Governor | R+18.9 | R+26.8 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-20 | CT Governor | D+10.7 | D+11.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-20 | SD Senate | R+31.0 | R+43.5 | 12.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-20 | CT Senate | D+12.3 | D+13.1 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-18 | National Generic Ballot | R+4.9 | R+2.6 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-18 | TX Governor | R+9.7 | R+10.9 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-18 | NH Governor | R+12.9 | R+15.5 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-18 | NH Senate | D+4.1 | D+9.1 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-13 | MI Governor | D+5.4 | D+10.5 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-06 | OH Governor | R+13.6 | R+25.0 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-06 | GA Governor | R+4.9 | R+7.5 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-06 | OH Senate | R+0.8 | R+6.1 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-06 | GA Senate | D+2.2 | D+1.0 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-03 | IA Governor | R+17.3 | R+18.5 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-03 | IA Senate | R+10.7 | R+12.2 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-30 | OR Governor | R+2.4 | D+3.4 | 5.8 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-30 | WA Senate | D+8.8 | D+14.5 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-30 | OR Senate | D+19.5 | D+14.9 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-25 | PA Governor | D+10.1 | D+14.8 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-25 | PA Senate | D+2.0 | D+4.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-25 | MO Senate | R+11.4 | R+13.3 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-22 | IL Governor | D+15.1 | D+12.5 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-22 | IL Senate | D+18.9 | D+15.3 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | TX Governor | R+7.9 | R+10.9 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-20 | National Generic Ballot | D+0.4 | R+2.6 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-19 | ME Governor | D+11.3 | D+13.2 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-18 | CO Governor | D+16.9 | D+19.4 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-18 | CO Senate | D+9.6 | D+14.6 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | WI Governor | D+1.5 | D+3.4 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | KS Governor | D+1.5 | D+2.2 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | WI Senate | R+3.6 | R+1.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-17 | KS Senate | R+12.2 | R+23.0 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-15 | NC Senate | R+2.4 | R+3.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | NH-2 House | D+17.7 | D+11.7 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | NH-1 House | D+4.7 | D+8.1 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | NH Governor | R+15.2 | R+15.5 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | NH Senate | D+10.5 | D+9.1 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | OH Governor | R+16.7 | R+25.0 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-12 | OH Senate | R+4.3 | R+6.1 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-10 | NM Governor | D+4.9 | D+6.4 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-09 | NV Governor | D+0.2 | R+1.5 | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-09 | NV Senate | R+0.5 | D+0.8 | 1.3 | ✗ |
| 2021-10-22 | VA Governor | D+0.9 | R+1.9 | 2.8 | ✗ |
| 2021-10-17 | NJ Governor | D+4.4 | D+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2021-10-15 | OH-15 House | R+11.1 | R+16.6 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2021-10-02 | VA Governor | R+0.1 | R+1.9 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2021-09-13 | VA Governor | D+3.2 | R+1.9 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2020-12-15 | GA Senate | R+2.0 | D+1.2 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-12-15 | GA Senate | R+2.4 | D+2.1 | 4.5 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | M2 President | D+3.0 | R+7.4 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | M1 President | D+19.0 | D+23.1 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC Governor | D+9.9 | D+4.5 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | TX Senate | R+4.0 | R+9.6 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC Senate | D+3.2 | R+1.8 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | MI Senate | D+5.8 | D+1.7 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | ME Senate | D+1.8 | R+8.6 | 10.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | IA Senate | D+3.1 | R+6.6 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | GA Senate | D+1.3 | R+1.8 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | AZ Senate | D+2.7 | D+2.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | TX President | R+1.0 | R+5.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | OH President | D+0.9 | R+8.0 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | NV President | D+1.7 | D+2.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC President | D+0.3 | R+1.4 | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | MI President | D+6.5 | D+2.8 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | ME President | D+11.4 | D+9.1 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | IA President | R+1.2 | R+8.2 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | GA President | R+0.6 | D+0.2 | 0.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | AZ President | D+2.1 | D+0.3 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | N2 President | D+2.6 | D+6.5 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | NE-2 House | R+3.0 | R+4.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | WI President | D+7.3 | D+0.6 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | PA President | D+4.9 | D+1.2 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | FL President | D+5.8 | R+3.4 | 9.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | National President | D+4.2 | D+4.4 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-20 | IA Senate | R+4.1 | R+6.6 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-20 | IA President | D+0.1 | R+8.2 | 8.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-18 | GA Senate | R+1.6 | R+1.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-18 | GA President | R+1.4 | D+0.2 | 1.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC Governor | D+4.4 | D+4.5 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC Senate | D+1.1 | R+1.8 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-13 | NC President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2020-10-11 | FL President | D+2.2 | R+3.4 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-06 | MT Governor | R+12.3 | R+12.9 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | MT Senate | R+9.1 | R+10.0 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | MI Senate | D+9.6 | D+1.7 | 7.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | MT President | R+12.8 | R+16.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | MI President | D+10.8 | D+2.8 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-04 | PA President | D+3.4 | D+1.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | NH Governor | R+14.8 | R+31.8 | 17.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | NH Senate | D+15.1 | D+15.7 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | NH President | D+7.8 | D+7.4 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-22 | National President | D+3.0 | D+4.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-17 | NC Senate | D+6.0 | R+1.8 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-17 | NC President | D+1.6 | R+1.4 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-07 | WI President | D+6.7 | D+0.6 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-06 | NJ Senate | D+24.0 | D+16.3 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-06 | NJ President | D+18.3 | D+15.9 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | SD-1 House | R+16.1 | R+24.3 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV-4 House | D+3.8 | D+8.2 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV-3 House | D+9.2 | D+9.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV-2 House | R+20.6 | R+16.5 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV-1 House | D+30.0 | D+35.3 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | SD Governor | R+1.0 | R+3.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV Governor | D+1.0 | D+4.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-03 | NV Senate | D+4.5 | D+5.0 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | FL Governor | D+5.3 | R+0.4 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-02 | AZ Governor | R+15.1 | R+14.2 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | MO Senate | R+3.4 | R+5.8 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-02 | FL Senate | D+5.0 | R+0.1 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-02 | AZ Senate | D+0.7 | D+2.3 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-31 | IA-4 House | R+9.3 | R+3.3 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-31 | IA-3 House | D+0.9 | D+2.2 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-31 | IA-2 House | D+12.9 | D+12.2 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-31 | IA-1 House | D+11.9 | D+5.1 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-31 | IA Governor | R+3.9 | R+2.7 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WV-3 House | R+7.6 | R+12.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WV-2 House | R+7.4 | R+11.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WV-1 House | R+25.4 | R+29.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WI Governor | D+4.8 | D+1.1 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | GA Governor | R+2.1 | R+1.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WI Senate | D+8.7 | D+10.8 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | WV Senate | D+5.8 | D+3.3 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | TX Governor | R+8.3 | R+13.3 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | TN Governor | R+13.4 | R+21.0 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | TX Senate | R+3.1 | R+2.6 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | TN Senate | R+8.4 | R+10.8 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | NH-2 House | D+12.7 | D+13.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | NH-1 House | D+1.7 | D+8.6 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | ME-2 House | D+1.1 | D+1.3 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | ME-1 House | D+25.2 | D+26.3 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | NH Governor | R+7.3 | R+7.0 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | ME Governor | D+8.0 | D+7.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | CT Governor | D+6.2 | D+3.7 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | ME Senate | R+31.4 | R+24.8 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-28 | CT Senate | D+20.0 | D+17.5 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | KS-4 House | R+29.8 | R+18.9 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | KS-3 House | D+12.8 | D+9.7 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | KS-2 House | R+6.9 | R+0.9 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | KS-1 House | R+14.9 | R+36.3 | 21.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | OR Governor | D+5.1 | D+6.4 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | OH Governor | D+3.5 | R+3.7 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-27 | KS Governor | R+1.3 | D+5.1 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-27 | OH Senate | D+5.8 | D+6.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NM-3 House | D+17.0 | D+32.2 | 15.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NM-2 House | D+0.4 | D+1.9 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NM-1 House | D+10.0 | D+22.8 | 12.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NM Governor | D+9.0 | D+14.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | MI Governor | D+10.4 | D+9.6 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NM Senate | D+16.5 | D+23.6 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | NJ Senate | D+5.3 | D+11.2 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | MI Senate | D+9.4 | D+6.5 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-18 | CA Governor | D+19.9 | D+23.9 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-18 | CA Senate | D+18.1 | D+8.3 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV-4 House | D+1.7 | D+8.2 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV-3 House | D+1.7 | D+9.1 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV-2 House | R+6.9 | R+16.5 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV-1 House | D+30.2 | D+35.3 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NH-2 House | D+18.9 | D+13.4 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NH-1 House | D+5.4 | D+8.6 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NH Governor | R+15.1 | R+7.0 | 8.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV Governor | R+5.2 | D+4.1 | 9.3 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-11 | NV Senate | R+6.7 | D+5.0 | 11.7 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-03 | National Generic Ballot | D+8.4 | D+8.5 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-03 | TX Governor | R+19.8 | R+13.3 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-03 | TX Senate | R+4.6 | R+2.6 | 2.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-27 | KS-4 House | R+23.7 | R+18.9 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-27 | KS-3 House | D+6.6 | D+9.7 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-27 | KS-2 House | D+4.0 | R+0.9 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-27 | KS-1 House | R+26.6 | R+36.3 | 9.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-27 | KS Governor | R+1.4 | D+5.1 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-20 | AZ Governor | R+3.6 | R+14.2 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-20 | AZ Senate | D+5.5 | D+2.3 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-14 | WV-3 House | D+5.3 | R+12.8 | 18.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-14 | WV-2 House | R+8.7 | R+11.0 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-14 | WV-1 House | R+28.7 | R+29.2 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-14 | WV Senate | D+11.7 | D+3.3 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | IA-4 House | R+10.9 | R+3.3 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | IA-3 House | R+16.0 | D+2.2 | 18.2 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-07 | IA-2 House | D+24.7 | D+12.2 | 12.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | IA-1 House | D+4.1 | D+5.1 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | IA Governor | D+4.6 | R+2.7 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2018-08-03 | OH-12 House | D+1.0 | R+0.8 | 1.8 | ✗ |
| 2018-04-21 | AZ-8 House | R+6.0 | R+4.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-04-14 | AZ-8 House | D+1.0 | R+4.7 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 2018-03-02 | PA-18 House | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2017-12-08 | AL Senate | R+9.0 | D+1.6 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 2017-12-01 | AL Senate | R+3.0 | D+1.6 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2017-11-26 | AL Senate | R+6.0 | D+1.6 | 7.6 | ✗ |
| 2017-11-10 | AL Senate | R+10.0 | D+1.6 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 2017-11-03 | VA Governor | D+3.0 | D+8.9 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2017-10-27 | NJ Governor | D+16.0 | D+14.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2017-10-06 | VA Governor | D+5.0 | D+8.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2017-09-30 | NJ Governor | D+11.4 | D+14.1 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2017-04-20 | MT-1 House | R+15.0 | R+5.6 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-29 | LA Senate | R+18.0 | R+21.3 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | OH President | R+6.7 | R+8.1 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | NV President | D+1.2 | D+2.4 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | NH President | D+1.6 | D+0.4 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | MO President | R+6.0 | R+18.6 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | NH Senate | R+3.2 | D+0.1 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-04 | MO Senate | D+0.7 | R+2.8 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-04 | OH Senate | R+20.5 | R+20.9 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-04 | NV Senate | D+1.1 | D+2.4 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | IA President | R+2.7 | R+9.4 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | IA Senate | R+28.0 | R+24.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-01 | UT President | R+20.2 | R+18.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-01 | TX President | R+14.7 | R+9.0 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MO President | R+15.0 | R+18.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | GA President | R+9.0 | R+5.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CO President | D+3.0 | D+4.9 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AZ President | R+4.0 | R+3.6 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | GA Senate | R+8.0 | R+13.8 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AZ Senate | R+6.0 | R+13.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CO Senate | D+5.0 | D+5.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | MO Senate | Even | R+2.8 | 2.8 | — |
| 2016-10-29 | M2 President | D+1.4 | R+10.3 | 11.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-29 | M1 President | D+6.3 | D+14.8 | 8.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | VA President | D+4.0 | D+5.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | ME President | D+4.0 | D+3.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | IL President | D+12.0 | D+17.1 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-29 | IL Senate | D+17.5 | D+15.1 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-27 | WI President | D+6.0 | R+0.8 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-27 | WI Senate | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-26 | OH President | Even | R+8.1 | 8.1 | — |
| 2016-10-26 | NV President | D+2.0 | D+2.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-26 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+3.7 | 6.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-26 | FL President | D+1.0 | R+1.2 | 2.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-26 | FL Senate | R+2.0 | R+7.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-26 | OH Senate | R+14.0 | R+20.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-26 | NV Senate | R+4.0 | D+2.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-26 | NC Senate | R+4.0 | R+5.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | PA President | D+5.0 | R+0.7 | 5.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-25 | MI President | D+7.0 | R+0.2 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-25 | PA Senate | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-24 | NH President | D+3.0 | D+0.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-24 | NH Senate | R+6.0 | D+0.1 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | ID President | R+29.0 | R+31.8 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-22 | ID Senate | R+33.0 | R+38.4 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | UT President | R+2.6 | R+18.1 | 15.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | PA President | D+4.0 | R+0.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-18 | NH President | D+8.0 | D+0.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | MO President | R+8.0 | R+18.6 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | PA Senate | R+3.2 | R+1.4 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | NH Senate | R+0.1 | D+0.1 | 0.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-18 | MO Senate | D+0.4 | R+2.8 | 3.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-11 | VA President | D+2.7 | D+5.3 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | OH President | D+2.0 | R+8.1 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-11 | NC President | D+4.0 | R+3.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-11 | OH Senate | R+17.0 | R+20.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NC Senate | R+1.8 | R+5.7 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | RI President | D+20.0 | D+15.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | NV President | Even | D+2.4 | 2.4 | — |
| 2016-10-03 | FL President | R+1.0 | R+1.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | AZ President | D+2.0 | R+3.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-03 | FL Senate | R+7.5 | R+7.7 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | AZ Senate | R+15.4 | R+13.0 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-03 | NV Senate | R+4.9 | D+2.4 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-26 | WA President | D+5.8 | D+15.7 | 9.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-26 | WA Senate | D+6.4 | D+18.0 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | N3 President | R+45.0 | R+54.2 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | N2 President | R+9.0 | R+2.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | N1 President | R+24.0 | R+20.7 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | NE President | R+26.4 | R+25.1 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-20 | IL President | D+5.8 | D+17.1 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-20 | IL Senate | D+1.7 | D+15.1 | 13.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | WI President | D+6.1 | R+0.8 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-19 | WI Senate | D+9.9 | R+3.4 | 13.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-12 | National President | R+2.0 | D+2.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-11 | MO President | R+13.0 | R+18.6 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | GA President | R+6.0 | R+5.1 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | CO President | R+4.0 | D+4.9 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-11 | AR President | R+28.0 | R+26.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | GA Senate | R+16.0 | R+13.8 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | AR Senate | R+14.0 | R+23.6 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | CO Senate | D+7.0 | D+5.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-11 | MO Senate | D+2.0 | R+2.8 | 4.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-09 | TX President | R+6.3 | R+9.0 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-28 | MA-9 House | D+5.0 | D+10.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-28 | MA-6 House | R+2.0 | D+13.8 | 15.8 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-28 | MA Governor | R+6.0 | R+1.9 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | MA-9 House | D+3.0 | D+10.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-13 | MA-6 House | R+3.0 | D+13.8 | 16.8 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-06 | MA-9 House | R+5.0 | D+10.0 | 15.0 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-06 | MA Governor | R+5.0 | R+1.9 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-28 | MA-6 House | R+2.0 | D+13.8 | 15.8 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.