Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Ager ✓ | 49,193 | 64.7% | |
| Richard Hudspeth | 12,063 | 15.9% | |
| Zelda Briarwood | 9,893 | 13.0% | |
| Paul Maddox | 3,857 | 5.1% | |
| Lee Whipple | 1,078 | 1.4% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Edwards ✓ | 47,795 | 70.1% | |
| Adam Smith | 20,389 | 29.9% |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Chuck Edwards Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2025-12-17 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Jamie Ager 45.00% | Chuck Edwards 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 NC-11 House race?
Jamie Ager leads Chuck Edwards 45% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 NC-11 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-11 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Impact Research (D) (completed December 17, 2025), found Jamie Ager (D) at 45% and Chuck Edwards (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 NC-11 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $4,966,363
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,611,289
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $2,447,921
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $569,658
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $546,277
- EDF ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $533,048
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $385,195
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $378,963
- SD 2026 Dem-aligned $370,000
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $318,769
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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