Primary
Primary held May 19, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti ✓ | 58,726 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Bresnahan ✓ | 38,075 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
Rob Bresnahan Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Research Partners (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-23 | 400 V | Paige Cognetti 47.00% | Rob Bresnahan 45.00% | |
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-06-11 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Paige Cognetti 46.00% | Rob Bresnahan 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-08 House race?
Paige Cognetti leads Rob Bresnahan 46.5% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.5 margin based on 2 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 PA-08 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-08 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Lake Research Partners (D) (completed June 23, 2026), found Paige Cognetti (D) at 47% and Rob Bresnahan (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 PA-08 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Northeast PA; flipped R 2024
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- WELCOMEPAC $103,023
- ACTIVATE AMERICA $1,540
- MOMSRISING PAC $1,400
- FIELD TEAM 6, INC. $1,072
- DMFI PAC $382
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION $181
- API PA VOTES $95
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.