Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti ✓ | 58,726 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Bresnahan ✓ | 38,075 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Rob Bresnahan Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2025-08-28 | 615 V | Paige Cognetti 45.00% | Rob Bresnahan 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 PA-08 House race?
Paige Cognetti leads Rob Bresnahan 45% to 43% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 PA-08 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 PA-08 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed August 28, 2025), found Paige Cognetti (D) at 45% and Rob Bresnahan (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 PA-08 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Northeast PA; flipped R 2024
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,684,465
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $1,216,666
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $887,072
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $828,772
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $577,297
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $571,529
- TOMORROW TOGETHER Dem-aligned $368,210
- REAL RESULTS PAC GOP-aligned $362,025
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $356,106
- NRDC ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $250,000
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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