Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra ✓ | 2,591,857 | 28.0% | |
| Tom Steyer | 2,110,707 | 22.8% | |
| Katie Porter | 403,908 | 4.4% | |
| Matt Mahan | 327,537 | 3.5% | |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | 104,107 | 1.1% | |
| Tony Thurmond | 63,762 | 0.7% | |
| Betty Yee | 40,873 | 0.4% | |
| Eric Swalwell | 28,164 | 0.3% | |
| Barack D. Obama Shaw | 16,716 | 0.2% | |
| Carolina Buhler | 15,013 | 0.2% | |
| Matthew Chase Levy | 11,059 | 0.1% | |
| Erin "Zez" Zezulak | 9,251 | 0.1% | |
| Louis A. De Barraicua | 8,851 | 0.1% | |
| Mohammad Arif | 8,458 | 0.1% | |
| Satish Rao | 5,668 | 0.1% | |
| Scott P. Shields | 5,043 | 0.1% | |
| Derek Grasty | 4,994 | 0.1% | |
| Larry Azevedo | 4,675 | 0.1% | |
| Raji Rab | 3,606 | 0.0% | |
| Sophia Edum-a-Sam | 3,550 | 0.0% | |
| Akinyemi Agbede | 3,037 | 0.0% | |
| Gary Howard Kidgell | 2,415 | 0.0% | |
| Joel E. Jacob | 2,350 | 0.0% | |
| Thunder Parley | 2,320 | 0.0% | |
| Jibri J. Peavy | 10 | 0.0% | |
| Kalid Meky | 5 | 0.0% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Hilton ✓ | 2,277,318 | 24.6% | |
| Chad Bianco | 941,708 | 10.2% | |
| Tim Nelson | 23,712 | 0.3% | |
| Randeep S. Dhillon | 21,937 | 0.2% | |
| Leo Samuel Zacky | 14,708 | 0.2% | |
| Gretha Solórzano | 12,563 | 0.1% | |
| Leo Naranjo IV | 8,099 | 0.1% | |
| James Athans Jr. | 6,633 | 0.1% | |
| David Zickefoose | 5,882 | 0.1% | |
| Alicia Olivia Lapp | 5,370 | 0.1% | |
| Rafael M. Hernandez | 5,223 | 0.1% | |
| Patricia De Luca Basualdo | 4,064 | 0.0% | |
| Ché Ahn | 2,419 | 0.0% |
Green Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butch Ware | 22,493 | 0.2% |
Libertarian Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Woodard | 9,328 | 0.1% |
No party preference Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy D. Young | 7,012 | 0.1% | |
| Joseph Cabrera | 6,196 | 0.1% | |
| Christine R. Sarmiento | 5,643 | 0.1% | |
| Jon Henderson | 5,589 | 0.1% | |
| Amanda Martin | 5,234 | 0.1% | |
| Frederic C. Schultz | 5,230 | 0.1% | |
| Elaine Culotti | 4,483 | 0.1% | |
| Mauro Alberto Orozco | 4,052 | 0.0% | |
| Brent Maupin | 3,132 | 0.0% | |
| Lewis Herms | 2,995 | 0.0% | |
| Naomi Bar-Lev | 2,744 | 0.0% | |
| Daniel Mercuri | 2,667 | 0.0% | |
| Margaret Trowe | 2,286 | 0.0% | |
| LivingForGod AndCountry DeMott | 2,206 | 0.0% | |
| Reza Safarnejad | 1,990 | 0.0% | |
| Duane Terrence Loynes Jr. | 1,905 | 0.0% | |
| Don J. Grundmann | 1,903 | 0.0% | |
| Anne Komarovsk | 1,535 | 0.0% | |
| Dawit Kellel | 1,360 | 0.0% | |
| Sam Sandak | 1,222 | 0.0% | |
| Max Fomin | 842 | 0.0% | |
| Lukasz Adam Filinski | 527 | 0.0% | |
| Serge Fiankan | 488 | 0.0% | |
| Sean Forbes | 22 | 0.0% | |
| Dirk Langer | 8 | 0.0% | |
| Michael J. Dilger | 1 | 0.0% |
Peace and Freedom Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ramsey Robinson | 51,803 | 0.6% |
Full calendar and every race: California primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Xavier Becerra Nominee
Democrat
Steve Hilton Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA In average | 2026-10-24 this poll | 799 LV | ±5.30 | Xavier Becerra 54.00% | Steve Hilton 32.00% |
| PPIC In average | 2026-10-22 this poll | 1086 LV | ±3.80 | Xavier Becerra 61.00% | Steve Hilton 37.00% |
| McLaughlin & Associates (R) R-sponsored In average | 2026-10-20 this poll | 800 LV | Xavier Becerra 55.00% | Steve Hilton 39.00% | |
| Emerson missed 2024 by 2.7 pts Not in average | 2026-10-19 this poll | 1000 LV | ±3.10 | Xavier Becerra 60.00% | Steve Hilton 33.00% |
| ActiVote Not in average | 2026-10-16 this poll | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Xavier Becerra 62.80% | Steve Hilton 37.20% |
| UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/Politico Not in average | 2026-10-14 this poll | 909 LV | Xavier Becerra 55.00% | Steve Hilton 35.00% | |
| Independent Voter Project Not in average | 2026-10-02 this poll | 2906 LV | ±2.50 | Xavier Becerra 48.00% | Steve Hilton 38.00% |
| Manhattan Institute (R) R-sponsored Not in average | 2026-10-01 this poll | 1000 LV | ±3.10 | Xavier Becerra 57.00% | Steve Hilton 39.00% |
| SurveyUSA Not in average | 2026-09-30 this poll | LV | Xavier Becerra 48.00% | Steve Hilton 35.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 California governor's race?
Xavier Becerra leads Steve Hilton 56.7% to 36% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+20.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 California governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 California governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from SurveyUSA (completed October 24, 2026), found Xavier Becerra (D) at 54% and Steve Hilton (R) at 32%.
When is the 2026 California governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat
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