South Dakota Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Republican Runoff

Held July 28, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Larry Rhoden 83,582 70.8%
Toby Doeden 34,430 29.2%

Full calendar and every race: South Dakota primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Larry Rhoden
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Larry Rhoden

Larry Rhoden Nominee Incumbent

Republican

Dan Ahlers Nominee

Democrat

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 South Dakota governor's race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 South Dakota governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News