Primary
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Beltran ✓ | 25,850 | 45.6% | |
| Kevin M. Steele | 17,130 | 30.2% | |
| Bea Valenti | 5,425 | 9.6% | |
| Robert "Rocky" Rochford | 4,044 | 7.1% | |
| John Peters | 1,573 | 2.8% | |
| Michael Marcel | 1,016 | 1.8% | |
| Ergin "Batman" Tek | 969 | 1.7% | |
| Gavriel E. Soriano | 693 | 1.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Kathy Castor Nominee Incumbent
DemocratAverage reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pete Polls | 2026-07-15 | 469 LV | ±4.50 | Kathy Castor 46.00% | Mike Beltran 38.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 FL-14 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 FL-14 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from St. Pete Polls (completed July 15, 2026), found Kathy Castor (D) at 46% and Mike Beltran (R) at 38%.
When is the 2026 FL-14 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- CONSERVATIVE SOLUTIONS FOR AMERICA Dem-aligned $90,487
- SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Dem-aligned $10
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $8
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.