Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay James ✓ | 28,005 | 57.3% | |
| Clint Twedt-Ball | 11,850 | 24.3% | |
| Kathy Dolter | 8,983 | 18.4% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mitchell ✓ | 24,643 | 61.4% | |
| Charlie McClintock | 15,501 | 38.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-19 | Lindsay James 46.00% | Joe Mitchell 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 IA-02 House race?
Lindsay James leads Joe Mitchell 46% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 IA-02 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 IA-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed July 19, 2026), found Lindsay James (D) at 46% and Joe Mitchell (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 IA-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,674,777
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $1,740,060
- HMP Dem-aligned $1,573,559
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $858,083
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $145,483
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $102,209
- END CITIZENS UNITED Dem-aligned $57,187
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $53,203
- COMMON GROUND COALITION PAC Dem-aligned $22,591
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $22,012
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.