Iowa District 2

IA-02 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Lindsay James 28,005 57.3%
Clint Twedt-Ball 11,850 24.3%
Kathy Dolter 8,983 18.4%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Joe Mitchell 24,643 61.4%
Charlie McClintock 15,501 38.6%

Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Ashley Hinson)
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Likely R expert avg
Open Seat
Yes
Cook PVI
R+6

Race Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Likely R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Lindsay James

Lindsay James Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $1,628,201
Cash on Hand: $755,838
Joe Mitchell

Joe Mitchell Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,938,593
Cash on Hand: $895,564

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D 2026-07-19 Lindsay James 46.00% Joe Mitchell 45.00%

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 IA-02 House race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 IA-02 House race say?

The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed July 19, 2026), found Lindsay James (D) at 46% and Joe Mitchell (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 IA-02 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago

$1,882,010
Total IE Spending
$71,450
Support
$1,810,560
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.