Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay James ✓ | 28,005 | 57.3% | |
| Clint Twedt-Ball | 11,850 | 24.3% | |
| Kathy Dolter | 8,983 | 18.4% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Mitchell ✓ | 24,643 | 61.4% | |
| Charlie McClintock | 15,501 | 38.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Iowa primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-19 | Lindsay James 46.00% | Joe Mitchell 45.00% | ||
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2026-04-14 | 675 RV | ±3.20 | Lindsay James 36.00% | Joe Mitchell 33.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 IA-02 House race?
Lindsay James leads Joe Mitchell 41% to 39% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+2.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 IA-02 House race competitive?
the expert consensus currently rates this race Tilt R.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 IA-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed July 19, 2026), found Lindsay James (D) at 46% and Joe Mitchell (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 IA-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $3,512,702
- HMP Dem-aligned $1,765,846
- YOUR COMMUNITY PAC Dem-aligned $1,740,060
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $989,766
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $338,898
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $173,400
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $149,509
- END CITIZENS UNITED Dem-aligned $113,084
- ELECT DEMOCRATIC WOMEN Dem-aligned $109,454
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $76,465
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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