Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones ✓ | 47,512 | 92.6% | |
| Zack Huffman | 3,806 | 7.4% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Hill ✓ | 49,079 | 76.8% | |
| Chase McDowell | 14,830 | 23.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Arkansas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
Share
Race page
Candidates
French Hill Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | 2026-08-13 | 1112 LV | ±5.30 | Chris Jones 48.00% | French Hill 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AR-02 House race?
Chris Jones leads French Hill 48% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 AR-02 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: PollingSource rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible. The polling average currently points the other way (D+4.0), but it rests on 1 poll — a single poll never sets the band on its own, so the rating holds one step off the expert consensus (Safe R) until more polling arrives.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AR-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hendrix College (completed August 13, 2026), found Chris Jones (D) at 48% and French Hill (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 AR-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.