Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Jones ✓ | 47,512 | 92.6% | |
| Zack Huffman | 3,806 | 7.4% | |
| Zach Huffman | 3,806 | 7.4% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| French Hill ✓ | 49,079 | 76.8% | |
| Chase McDowell | 14,830 | 23.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Arkansas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
French Hill Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | 2026-08-13 | 1112 LV | ±5.30 | Chris Jones 48.00% | French Hill 44.00% |
| 2040 Strategy Group (D) | 2026-05-08 | 660 LV | ±3.50 | Chris Jones 46.00% | French Hill 43.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AR-02 House race?
Chris Jones leads French Hill 47% to 43.5% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.5 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 AR-02 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AR-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hendrix College (completed August 13, 2026), found Chris Jones (D) at 48% and French Hill (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 AR-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- READY FOR THE FIGHT Dem-aligned $1,037,632
- COMMITTEE FOR AMERICAN LEADERSHIP GOP-aligned $1,031,317
- FAIRSHAKE GOP-aligned $1,019,964
- DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS GOP-aligned $349,681
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE GOP-aligned $39,237
- INDIVISIBLE ACTION Dem-aligned $11,928
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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