GreatBlue Research
4 scored general-election polls (2018–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-14 | CT President | D+25.0 | D+20.1 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-30 | CT Governor | R+2.4 | D+3.7 | 6.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-15 | CT Governor | D+3.4 | D+3.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-14 | CT Governor | D+6.2 | D+3.7 | 2.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.