Marist
20 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 4.3 pts | D+4.3 | 47% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | WI President | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | WI President | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-22 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-22 | GA President | Even | R+2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| 2024-10-22 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-10 | National President | D+5.0 | R+1.5 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-07 | TX President | R+7.0 | R+13.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | OH President | R+6.0 | R+11.2 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | FL President | R+4.0 | R+13.1 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | FL President | R+4.0 | R+13.1 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | NC President | Even | R+3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2024-09-24 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-17 | WI President | D+1.0 | R+0.9 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-17 | MI President | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-17 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.