Marist
140 scored general-election polls (2014–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | 4.3 pts | D+4.3 | 47% |
| 2022 | 24 | 3.8 pts | D+2.7 | 91% |
| 2020 | 14 | 6.1 pts | D+6.0 | 77% |
| 2018 | 29 | 4.2 pts | D+1.9 | 71% |
| 2016 | 30 | 4.4 pts | D+2.9 | 59% |
| 2014 | 23 | 6.6 pts | D+5.5 | 73% |
Recent 2026 polls
The firm's polls from the last 30 days (results aren't in yet, so these aren't scored — see the 2026 vs.-consensus column on the summary).
| Date | Race | Sample | Matchup | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | IA Senate | 1050 RV | Josh Turek 50.00% – Ashley Hinson 42.00% | D+8.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | IA Governor | 1050 RV | Rob Sand 54.00% – Zach Lahn 42.00% | D+12.0 |
| 2026-09-20 | National Generic Ballot | DEM 49.00% – GOP 46.00% | D+3.0 |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | WI President | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | WI President | D+2.0 | R+0.9 | 2.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-22 | NC President | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-22 | GA President | Even | R+2.2 | 2.2 | — |
| 2024-10-22 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-10 | National President | D+5.0 | R+1.5 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-07 | TX President | R+7.0 | R+13.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | OH President | R+6.0 | R+11.2 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | FL President | R+4.0 | R+13.1 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-07 | FL President | R+4.0 | R+13.1 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | NC President | Even | R+3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2024-09-24 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+5.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-17 | WI President | D+1.0 | R+0.9 | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-17 | MI President | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-17 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2022-11-01 | PA Governor | D+15.0 | D+14.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | GA Governor | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | AZ Governor | D+1.0 | D+0.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | PA Senate | D+6.0 | D+4.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | GA Senate | D+4.0 | D+1.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | AZ Senate | D+4.0 | D+4.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | National Generic Ballot | Even | R+2.6 | 2.6 | — |
| 2022-10-19 | OH Governor | R+13.0 | R+25.0 | 12.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-19 | OH Senate | R+1.0 | R+6.1 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-19 | NC Senate | Even | R+3.2 | 3.2 | — |
| 2022-10-05 | TX Governor | R+4.0 | R+10.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-05 | NY Governor | D+10.0 | D+7.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-05 | CO Governor | D+18.0 | D+19.4 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-05 | NY Senate | D+20.0 | D+14.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-05 | CO Senate | D+7.0 | D+14.6 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-28 | National Generic Ballot | D+2.0 | R+2.6 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-21 | PA Governor | D+13.0 | D+14.8 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | AZ Governor | R+1.0 | D+0.7 | 1.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-21 | PA Senate | D+10.0 | D+4.9 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-21 | AZ Senate | D+10.0 | D+4.9 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | OH Governor | R+18.0 | R+25.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | GA Governor | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | OH Senate | R+1.0 | R+6.1 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-14 | GA Senate | D+5.0 | D+1.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | AZ Senate | D+6.0 | D+2.4 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | PA President | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | AZ President | Even | D+0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| 2020-10-27 | NC Governor | D+19.0 | D+4.5 | 14.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC Senate | D+10.0 | R+1.8 | 11.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC President | D+6.0 | R+1.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-26 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-20 | NY-11 House | R+2.0 | R+3.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-22 | WI President | D+10.0 | D+0.6 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-21 | MI Senate | D+5.0 | D+1.7 | 3.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-21 | MI President | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | National President | D+7.0 | D+4.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-04 | PA President | D+9.0 | D+1.2 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-11-01 | FL Governor | D+4.0 | R+0.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-11-01 | FL Senate | D+4.0 | R+0.1 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-31 | MO Senate | D+3.0 | R+5.8 | 8.8 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-28 | National Generic Ballot | D+9.0 | D+8.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-26 | IN Senate | D+3.0 | R+5.9 | 8.9 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-25 | TN Governor | R+17.0 | R+21.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | AZ Governor | R+14.0 | R+14.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | TN Senate | R+5.0 | R+10.8 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | AZ Senate | D+3.0 | D+2.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-22 | National Generic Ballot | D+10.0 | D+8.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-16 | GA Governor | R+1.0 | R+1.4 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | MS Senate | R+14.0 | R+7.3 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | MS Senate | R+26.0 | R+19.0 | 7.0 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | WI Governor | D+8.0 | D+1.1 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | NV Governor | R+4.0 | D+4.1 | 8.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-02 | MN Governor | D+15.0 | D+11.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | MN Senate | D+16.0 | D+10.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | WI Senate | D+14.0 | D+10.8 | 3.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-02 | NV Senate | R+2.0 | D+5.0 | 7.0 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-02 | MN Senate | D+28.0 | D+24.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-01 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.0 | D+8.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-23 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.0 | D+8.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | OH Governor | Even | R+3.7 | 3.7 | — |
| 2018-09-18 | FL Governor | D+5.0 | R+0.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-18 | AZ Governor | R+10.0 | R+14.2 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | OH Senate | D+14.0 | D+6.9 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | FL Senate | D+3.0 | R+0.1 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-18 | AZ Senate | D+2.0 | D+2.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-07 | National Generic Ballot | D+12.0 | D+8.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+1.0 | 2.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-02 | National President | D+1.0 | D+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | TX President | R+9.0 | R+9.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | GA President | R+1.0 | R+5.1 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | AZ President | R+5.0 | R+3.6 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | GA Senate | R+11.0 | R+13.8 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | AZ Senate | R+16.0 | R+13.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | NC President | D+6.0 | R+3.7 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-25 | FL President | D+1.0 | R+1.2 | 2.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-25 | FL Senate | R+8.0 | R+7.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | NC Senate | Even | R+5.7 | 5.7 | — |
| 2016-10-25 | NC Governor | D+6.0 | D+0.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-22 | NV President | Even | D+2.4 | 2.4 | — |
| 2016-10-22 | NH President | D+9.0 | D+0.4 | 8.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-22 | NH Senate | R+1.0 | D+0.1 | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | NV Senate | R+7.0 | D+2.4 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | NH Governor | D+1.0 | R+2.3 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-11 | OH President | R+1.0 | R+8.1 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NC President | D+4.0 | R+3.7 | 7.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-11 | OH Senate | R+18.0 | R+20.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | NC Senate | Even | R+5.7 | 5.7 | — |
| 2016-10-11 | NC Governor | D+1.0 | D+0.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-05 | PA President | D+12.0 | R+0.7 | 12.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-05 | PA Senate | D+4.0 | R+1.4 | 5.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-04 | FL President | D+3.0 | R+1.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-04 | FL Senate | R+2.0 | R+7.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | NY President | D+21.0 | D+24.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | NY Senate | D+46.0 | D+42.0 | 4.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | National Generic Ballot | D+4.0 | R+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-17 | National President | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-29 | LA Senate | R+5.0 | R+11.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-29 | GA Governor | R+5.0 | R+7.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-29 | GA Senate | R+4.0 | R+7.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-29 | KY Senate | R+9.0 | R+15.5 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-27 | NY Governor | D+26.0 | D+14.7 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-21 | AR Governor | R+3.0 | R+13.9 | 10.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-21 | SD Governor | R+39.0 | R+45.0 | 6.0 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-21 | AR Senate | R+2.0 | R+17.1 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-21 | SD Senate | R+14.0 | R+20.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-21 | NC Senate | Even | R+1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| 2014-10-20 | CO Governor | D+5.0 | D+3.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | KS Governor | D+1.0 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-20 | IA Governor | R+23.0 | R+21.7 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | IA Senate | R+3.0 | R+8.3 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | CO Senate | R+1.0 | R+1.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | KS Senate | R+1.0 | D+10.6 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-29 | KS Governor | D+1.0 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-29 | IA Governor | R+22.0 | R+21.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-29 | IA Senate | R+2.0 | R+8.3 | 6.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-29 | KS Senate | R+10.0 | D+10.6 | 20.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-29 | NC Senate | D+4.0 | R+1.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-26 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-19 | NY Governor | D+25.0 | D+14.7 | 10.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.