South Carolina Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 9, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Annie Andrews ✓ 225,924 61.5%
Brandon Brown 110,878 30.2%
Kyle Freeman 30,350 8.3%

Republican Runoff

Held August 25, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Darline Graham ✓ 193,486 52.5%
Ralph Norman 175,412 47.6%

Full calendar and every race: South Carolina primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Darline Graham
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Likely R
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+2.7 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely R

Inside Elections

Lean Republican
Changed from Likely Republican on Oct 14

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe R

Candidates

Annie Andrews Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $20,173,697
Cash on Hand: $2,307,632
Darline Graham

Darline Graham Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,827,626
Cash on Hand: $609,732
Lindsey O. Graham

Lindsey O. Graham Won Primary — Deceased Incumbent

Republican

Won the June 9 Republican primary; passed away July 11, 2026.

Total Raised: $6,890,958
Cash on Hand: $314,880

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
45.3%
Republican
48.0%
Margin
R+2.7
Last Poll
Oct 18, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Trafalgar Group (R) partisan·R 2024 err 1.8 2026-10-18 1095 LV ±2.90 Annie Andrews 46.00% Darline Graham 49.00%
Rasmussen Reports (R) 2024 err 2.1 2026-10-08 837 LV ±3.00 Annie Andrews 45.00% Darline Graham 49.00%
InsiderAdvantage (R) 2024 err 1.9 2026-09-29 1200 LV ±2.80 Annie Andrews 45.00% Darline Graham 46.00%
Trafalgar Group (R) partisan·R 2024 err 1.8 2026-09-25 1087 LV ±2.90 Annie Andrews 42.00% Darline Graham 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 South Carolina Senate race?

Darline Graham leads Annie Andrews 48% to 45.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+2.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 South Carolina Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 South Carolina Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Trafalgar Group (R) (completed October 18, 2026), found Annie Andrews (D) at 46% and Darline Graham (R) at 49%.

When is the 2026 South Carolina Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Annie Andrews is the Democratic nominee. Darline Graham won the Aug 25 Republican runoff and is the Republican nominee. Lindsey Graham died July 11, 2026; the special fills the remainder of that term.

Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago

$22,223,145
Total IE Spending
$13,302,939
Support
$8,920,206
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