Ohio Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Amy Acton ✓ 767,360 100.0%

Republican Primary

Held May 5, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Vivek Ramaswamy ✓ 676,562 82.4%
Casey Putsch 144,184 17.6%

Full calendar and every race: Ohio primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Mike DeWine)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Tilt D
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average D+0.7 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Expert Ratings

Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

Cook Political Report

Lean D

Inside Elections

Toss-up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Leans Democratic
Changed from Toss-up on Oct 21

Candidates

Amy Acton

Amy Acton Nominee

Democrat
Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
47.6%
Republican
46.9%
Margin
D+0.7
Latest poll in average
Oct 23, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
RedBox Research (D) D-sponsored In average 2026-10-23 this poll 2998 LV ±4.60 Amy Acton 48.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 44.00%
Verasight In average 2026-10-20 this poll 531 LV ±4.20 Amy Acton 46.20% Vivek Ramaswamy 45.40%
ActiVote In average 2026-10-19 this poll 400 LV ±4.90 Amy Acton 48.60% Vivek Ramaswamy 51.40%
FOX News Not in average 2026-10-19 this poll 1592 LV ±2.00 Amy Acton 50.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 48.00%
Marist University Not in average 2026-10-18 this poll 1176 LV ±4.50 Amy Acton 50.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 43.00%
GS Strategy Group (R)/New River Strategies (D) R-sponsored Not in average 2026-10-13 this poll 959 LV Amy Acton 49.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 44.00%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov Not in average 2026-10-09 this poll 1000 LV ±4.50 Amy Acton 47.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 48.00%
co/efficient R-sponsored Not in average 2026-10-06 this poll 925 LV ±3.49 Amy Acton 43.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 45.00%
CNN missed 2024 by 2.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-05 this poll 760 LV ±4.50 Amy Acton 50.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 42.00%
NY Times/Siena missed 2024 by 3.1 pts Not in average 2026-10-01 this poll 616 LV ±4.50 Amy Acton 49.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 45.00%
YouGov Not in average 2026-09-30 this poll 3780 LV ±2.50 Amy Acton 48.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 44.00%
Big Data Poll Not in average 2026-09-27 this poll 680 LV ±4.00 Amy Acton 46.80% Vivek Ramaswamy 47.90%
Suffolk University Not in average 2026-09-27 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Amy Acton 50.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 41.00%
Marist University Not in average 2026-09-27 this poll 1298 RV ±3.80 Amy Acton 50.00% Vivek Ramaswamy 44.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Ohio governor's race?

Amy Acton leads Vivek Ramaswamy 47.6% to 46.9% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+0.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Ohio governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Ohio governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from RedBox Research (D) (completed October 23, 2026), found Amy Acton (D) at 48% and Vivek Ramaswamy (R) at 44%.

When is the 2026 Ohio governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News

Get the daily email and the spending series