Primary
Primary held June 2, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alani Bankhead ✓ | 48,772 | 43.6% | |
| Reilly Neill | 36,880 | 33.0% | |
| Michael Black Wolf | 14,678 | 13.1% | |
| Christopher Kehoe | 7,108 | 6.4% | |
| Michael Hummert | 4,305 | 3.9% |
Libertarian Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Austin ✓ | 1,819 | 53.2% | |
| Tom Jandron | 1,592 | 46.8% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme ✓ | 128,716 | 76.1% | |
| Lee Calhoun | 23,872 | 14.1% | |
| Charles Walking Child | 16,474 | 9.7% |
Full calendar and every race: Montana primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 90 days.
Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayhouse | 2026-06-24 | 500 RV | ±4.40 | Alani Bankhead 25.00% | Kurt Alme 41.00% |
| GrayHouse (R) partisan·R | 2026-06-24 | 500 RV | ±4.40 | Alani Bankhead 25.00% | Kurt Alme 41.00% |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) partisan·R | 2026-06-11 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Alani Bankhead 25.00% | Kurt Alme 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Kurt Alme leads Alani Bankhead 43% to 24.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+18.2 margin based on 4 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Montana Senate race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Montana Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Grayhouse (completed June 24, 2026), found Alani Bankhead (D) at 25% and Kurt Alme (R) at 41%.
When is the 2026 Montana Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
OPEN SEAT: Daines withdrew before the primary; Kurt Alme won the Republican nomination. Two-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago
Top Spenders
- PROGRESSIVE VET PAC $2,903,616
- MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENT $2,089,779
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION $1,599,816
- MONTANA FREEDOM PAC $1,383,698
- AMERICAN MISSION $286,358
- WINSENATE $17,820
- RED SENATE $11,621
- LEADERSHIP IN ACTION $10,000
- MONTANANS FOR PUBLIC LANDS $7,300
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND $149
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →