Montana Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Alani Bankhead ✓ 48,772 54.2%
Reilly Neill 36,880 41.0%
Michael Hummert 4,305 4.8%

Republican Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kurt Alme ✓ 128,716 84.4%
Lee Calhoun 23,872 15.6%

Libertarian Primary

Held June 2, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kyle Austin ✓ 1,819 53.2%
Tom Jandron 1,592 46.8%

Full calendar and every race: Montana primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Steve Daines)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe R our polls
Polls
1 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe R
Our polling average R+26.0 · 1 poll

General Election Polling Trend

Each point is a poll. The published PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe Republican

Candidates

Alani Ines Bankhead Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $58,829
Cash on Hand: $21,485
Kurt Alme

Kurt Alme Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $1,984,861
Cash on Hand: $1,450,719

Kyle Austin Nominee

Libertarian
Total Raised: $250,627
Cash on Hand: $8,751

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
19.0%
Republican
45.0%
Margin
R+26.0
Last Poll
Sep 24, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
American Pulse Research 2026-09-24 Alani Ines Bankhead 19.00% Kurt Alme 45.00%
Quantus Insights (R) partisan·R 2026-09-15 625 LV ±4.30 Alani Bankhead 23.00% Kurt Alme 44.00%
Rutgers University Eagleton Institute of Politics 2026-09-07 845 RV ±4.20 Alani Bankhead 16.00% Kurt Alme 38.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Montana Senate race?

Kurt Alme leads Alani Ines Bankhead 45% to 19% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+26.0 margin based on 1 poll from the most recent week of polls ending in the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Montana Senate race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Montana Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from American Pulse Research (completed September 24, 2026), found Alani Ines Bankhead (D) at 19% and Kurt Alme (R) at 45%.

When is the 2026 Montana Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the most recent week of scientific public polls whose fieldwork ended in the last 30 days. One poll in that week is the average. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists the polls from that window. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

OPEN SEAT: Daines withdrew before the primary; Kurt Alme won the Republican nomination. Two-term incumbent

Independent Expenditures Updated 1 hour ago

$19,652,574
Total IE Spending
$14,968,564
Support
$4,684,010
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

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