Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alani Bankhead ✓ | 48,772 | 54.2% | |
| Reilly Neill | 36,880 | 41.0% | |
| Michael Hummert | 4,305 | 4.8% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kurt Alme ✓ | 128,716 | 84.4% | |
| Lee Calhoun | 23,872 | 15.6% |
Libertarian Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Austin ✓ | 1,819 | 53.2% | |
| Tom Jandron | 1,592 | 46.8% |
Full calendar and every race: Montana primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hart Research (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-08-04 | 800 LV | Alani Bankhead 15.00% | Kurt Alme 45.00% | |
| Tavern Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-27 | 517 LV | ±5.00 | Alani Bankhead 24.00% | Kurt Alme 49.00% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-26 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Alani Bankhead 22.00% | Kurt Alme 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Montana Senate race?
Kurt Alme leads Alani Ines Bankhead 45% to 15% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+30.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 Montana Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Montana Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Hart Research (D) (completed August 4, 2026), found Alani Bankhead (D) at 15% and Kurt Alme (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 Montana Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
OPEN SEAT: Daines withdrew before the primary; Kurt Alme won the Republican nomination. Two-term incumbent
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- MONTANA FREEDOM PAC Dem-aligned $3,649,001
- MORE JOBS, LESS GOVERNMENT Mixed $2,916,106
- PROGRESSIVE VET PAC Dem-aligned $2,903,616
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $2,126,904
- INDEPENDENT PAC $809,055
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $286,358
- MONTANANS FOR PUBLIC LANDS $60,051
- WILD MONTANA ACTION FUND GOP-aligned $21,552
- WINSENATE Dem-aligned $17,820
- RED SENATE GOP-aligned $11,621
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →