Nebraska Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Cindy Burbank ✓ 110,210 89.5%
William Forbes 12,863 10.5%

Republican Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Pete Ricketts ✓ 160,547 81.5%
Todd Knobel 15,921 8.1%
Debb Axtel Schultz 11,735 6.0%
Mac Stevens 5,204 2.6%
Eric Mortimore 3,667 1.9%

Legal Marijuana Now Primary

Held May 12, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Mike Marvin ✓ 829 66.4%
Earl Starkey 420 33.6%

Full calendar and every race: Nebraska primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Pete Ricketts
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls experts: Likely R
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average Even · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Likely R

Inside Elections

Lean Republican
Changed from Likely Republican on Sep 30

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Likely Republican
Changed from Leans R on Jul 7

Candidates

Pete Ricketts

Pete Ricketts Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $13,405,556
Cash on Hand: $1,073,044

Cindy Burbank Nominee

O

Declined the nomination by the July 21, 2026 deadline. Nebraska Secretary of State Bob Evnen: Cindy Burbank's name will not appear on the November ballot as the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate. May 12 primary results stay as history.

Total Raised: $48,610
Cash on Hand: $23,108

Mike Marvin Nominee

O
Total Raised: $27,750
Cash on Hand: $0
Dan Osborn

Dan Osborn Nominee

Independent
Total Raised: $9,805,860
Cash on Hand: $2,210,572

General Election Polling Average

Independent
45.7%
Republican
45.7%
Margin
Even
Last Poll
Oct 3, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEIndRep
YouGov 2026-10-03 1809 LV ±3.30 Dan Osborn 48.00% Pete Ricketts 47.00%
co/efficient (R) partisan·R R-sponsored 2026-09-30 1113 LV ±2.92 Dan Osborn 43.00% Pete Ricketts 48.00%
SurveyUSA 2026-09-13 503 LV ±3.90 Dan Osborn 46.00% Pete Ricketts 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?

Dan Osborn (I) and Pete Ricketts (R) are tied at 45.7% in the PollingSource polling average, based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Nebraska Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Nebraska Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from YouGov (completed October 3, 2026), found Dan Osborn (I) at 48% and Pete Ricketts (R) at 47%.

When is the 2026 Nebraska Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Appointed 2023; first full term election

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$39,251,178
Total IE Spending
$9,114,813
Support
$30,136,365
Oppose

Top Spenders

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