Oklahoma Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
Back to Senate Races

Primary

Democratic Runoff

Held August 25, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
N’Kiyla Thomas 79,201 61.2%
Jim Priest 50,238 38.8%
99% reporting

Republican Primary

Held June 16, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Kevin Hern 267,222 78.2%
Gary Ty England 51,875 15.2%
Brian Ragain 22,478 6.6%

Full calendar and every race: Oklahoma primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Markwayne Mullin)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Polls
1 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Race Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe R

Candidates

N'Kiyla Thomas Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $57,159
Cash on Hand: $456
Kevin Hern

Kevin Hern Nominee

Republican
Total Raised: $9,953,579
Cash on Hand: $2,491,910

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
25.0%
Republican
49.0%
Margin
R+24.0
Last Poll
Aug 6, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
CHS & Associates 2026-08-06 500 RV ±4.30 N'Kiyla Thomas 25.00% Kevin Hern 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?

Kevin Hern leads N'Kiyla Thomas 49% to 25% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+24.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from CHS & Associates (completed August 6, 2026), found N'Kiyla Thomas (D) at 25% and Kevin Hern (R) at 49%.

When is the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

N'Kiyla Thomas won the Aug 25 Democratic runoff and is the Democratic nominee against Republican Kevin Hern.

Independent Expenditures Updated 6 hours ago

$2,438,669
Total IE Spending
$2,438,669
Support
$0
Oppose

Top Spenders

Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →

Race News