Primary
Democratic Runoff
Held August 25, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| N’Kiyla Thomas ✓ | 79,229 | 61.2% | |
| Jim Priest | 50,249 | 38.8% |
Republican Primary
Held June 16, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Hern ✓ | 267,115 | 78.2% | |
| Gary Ty England | 51,857 | 15.2% | |
| Brian Ragain | 22,466 | 6.6% |
Full calendar and every race: Oklahoma primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHS & Associates partisan·R | 2026-08-06 | 500 RV | ±4.30 | N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas 25.00% | Kevin Hern 49.00% |
| CHS & Associates partisan·R | 2026-08-06 | 500 RV | ±4.30 | N'Kiyla Thomas 25.00% | Kevin Hern 49.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race?
Kevin Hern leads N'Kiyla Thomas 49% to 25% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+24.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from CHS & Associates (completed August 6, 2026), found N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas (D) at 25% and Kevin Hern (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
N'Kiyla Thomas won the Aug 25 Democratic runoff and is the Democratic nominee against Republican Kevin Hern.
Independent Expenditures Updated 7 hours ago
Top Spenders
- DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC GOP-aligned $808,341
- DEFEND AMERICAN JOBS GOP-aligned $745,963
- AMERICAN MISSION GOP-aligned $473,518
- FELLOWSHIP PAC GOP-aligned $300,000
- HIGH PLAINS PAC GOP-aligned $165,000
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND GOP-aligned $117,487
- SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION GOP-aligned $34,872
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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