FOX News (Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research)
24 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | 2.3 pts | D+1.9 | 68% |
Recent 2026 polls
The firm's polls from the last 30 days (results aren't in yet, so these aren't scored — see the 2026 vs.-consensus column on the summary).
| Date | Race | Sample | Matchup | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 | MI Senate | 1028 LV | Abdul El-Sayed 50.00% – Mike Rogers 49.00% | D+1.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | IA Senate | 1008 LV | Josh Turek 49.00% – Ashley Hinson 47.00% | D+2.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | TX Senate | 881 LV | James Talarico 51.00% – Ken Paxton 49.00% | D+2.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | IA Governor | 1008 LV | Rob Sand 53.00% – Zach Lahn 44.00% | D+9.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | MI Governor | 1203 RV | Jocelyn Benson 54.00% – John James 45.00% | D+9.0 |
| 2026-09-28 | TX Governor | 1005 LV | Gina Hinojosa 47.00% – Greg Abbott 52.00% | R+5.0 |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-13 | National President | R+5.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-28 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-28 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-28 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-10-28 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-10-28 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-10-28 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-10-14 | National President | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-14 | National President | R+2.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | GA President | D+3.0 | R+2.2 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-24 | AZ President | R+3.0 | R+5.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-24 | PA President | R+1.0 | R+1.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-16 | National President | D+2.0 | R+1.5 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | NC President | R+1.0 | R+3.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2024-08-26 | NV President | D+2.0 | R+3.1 | 5.1 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | GA President | D+2.0 | R+2.2 | 4.2 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-26 | AZ President | D+1.0 | R+5.5 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-12 | National President | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-24 | MN President | D+6.0 | D+4.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-24 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-07-24 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-07-24 | PA President | D+2.0 | R+1.7 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-07-10 | National President | R+1.0 | R+1.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.