Michigan Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Jocelyn Benson 1,247,174 83.2%
Christopher Robert Swanson 251,762 16.8%

Republican Primary

Held August 4, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
John James 466,232 58.7%
Perry Johnson 327,910 41.3%

Full calendar and every race: Michigan primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Gretchen Whitmer)
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Toss-up
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
4 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+6.7 · 4 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

</> Embed this chart on your site

Free to embed — the chart credits and links back to PollingSource.

Share X Facebook Race page

Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Jocelyn Benson

Jocelyn Benson Nominee

Democrat

John James Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
48.5%
Republican
41.8%
Margin
D+6.7
Last Poll
Sep 6, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
SSRS 2026-09-06 843 LV ±4.10 Jocelyn Benson 50.00% John James 41.00%
Glengariff Group 2026-09-03 600 LV ±4.00 Jocelyn Benson 47.00% John James 43.00%
Glengariff 2026-09-03 LV Jocelyn Benson 47.00% John James 43.00%
EPIC-MRA 2026-08-28 600 LV ±4.00 Jocelyn Benson 48.00% John James 44.00%
Michigan State University Institute for Public Policy and Social Research/YouGov 2026-08-20 913 RV Jocelyn Benson 49.00% John James 39.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Michigan governor's race?

Jocelyn Benson leads John James 48.5% to 41.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.7 margin based on 4 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Michigan governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Michigan governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from SSRS (completed September 6, 2026), found Jocelyn Benson (D) at 50% and John James (R) at 41%.

When is the 2026 Michigan governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

Race News