Mississippi Senate Race

2026 Election • Class 2
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held March 10, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Scott Colom ✓ 109,817 79.6%
Priscilla Williams-Till 28,075 20.4%

Republican Primary

Held March 10, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Cindy Hyde-Smith ✓ 127,852 80.8%
Sarah Adlakha 30,344 19.2%

Full calendar and every race: Mississippi primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Cindy Hyde-Smith
Party
Republican
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Lean R our polls experts: Safe R
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Lean R
Our polling average R+4.3 · 3 polls

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid R

Inside Elections

Solid Republican

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Safe R

Candidates

Cindy Hyde-Smith

Cindy Hyde-Smith Nominee Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $4,512,941
Cash on Hand: $2,425,285

Scott Colom Nominee

Democrat
Total Raised: $3,926,491
Cash on Hand: $991,803

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
41.7%
Republican
46.0%
Margin
R+4.3
Last Poll
Oct 14, 2026

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Wedgewood Polls 2026-10-14 511 LV ±4.30 Scott Colom 48.00% Cindy Hyde-Smith 52.00%
Data for Progress (D) partisan·D 2024 err 4.1 D-sponsored 2026-08-15 1018 LV ±3.00 Scott Colom 38.00% Cindy Hyde-Smith 44.00%
Impact Research (D) partisan·D 2026-04-12 500 LV ±4.40 Scott Colom 39.00% Cindy Hyde-Smith 42.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Mississippi Senate race?

Cindy Hyde-Smith leads Scott Colom 46% to 41.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+4.3 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Mississippi Senate race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Mississippi Senate race say?

The most recent public poll, from Wedgewood Polls (completed October 14, 2026), found Scott Colom (D) at 48% and Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) at 52%.

When is the 2026 Mississippi Senate race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Appointed 2018, won special and 2020

Independent Expenditures Updated just now

$8,123,539
Total IE Spending
$4,611,240
Support
$3,512,299
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