Primary
Democratic Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Ray Luján ✓ | 182,360 | 84.2% | |
| Matt Dodson | 34,289 | 15.8% |
Republican Primary
Held June 2, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Marker ✓ | 31,220 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: New Mexico primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Candidates
Ben Ray Luján Nominee Incumbent
DemocratGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research & Polling Inc. | 2026-08-28 | 516 LV | ±4.30 | Ben Ray Luján 53.00% | Larry Marker 38.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 New Mexico Senate race?
Polling so far tested a matchup that is no longer live: Larry Marker is not the Republican nominee — Larry E Marker is. In that earlier polling, Ben Ray Luján led Larry Marker 53% to 38%. The PollingSource average resets once the final matchup is polled.
Is the 2026 New Mexico Senate race competitive?
No — the expert consensus rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 New Mexico Senate race say?
The most recent public poll, from Research & Polling Inc. (completed August 28, 2026), found Ben Ray Luján (D) at 53% and Larry Marker (R) at 38%.
When is the 2026 New Mexico Senate race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term Class II incumbent (Heinrich re-elected 2024, up 2030)
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION Dem-aligned $284
- SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION Dem-aligned $10
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →