Massachusetts Governor Race

2026 Election
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Primary

Democratic Primary

Held September 1, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Maura Healey ✓ 382,008 97.9%

Republican Primary

Held September 1, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Michael Roger Minogue ✓ 384,472 75.7%
Brian Shortsleeve 122,482 24.1%
Anne Brensley ✓ 1,100 0.2%

Nonpartisan Primary

Held September 1, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Write-in 8,162 2.1%
John Deaton — —

Full calendar and every race: Massachusetts primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Maura Healey
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Safe D our polls
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Safe D
Our polling average D+23.0 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Solid D

Inside Elections

Solid Democrat

Candidates

Maura Healey

Maura Healey Nominee Incumbent

Democrat

Michael Minogue Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
55.7%
Republican
32.7%
Margin
D+23.0
Latest poll in average
Oct 18, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
Suffolk University In average 2026-10-18 this poll 500 LV ±4.40 Maura Healey 59.00% Michael Minogue 36.00%
WCVB-TV/Amherst In average 2026-10-13 this poll 800 RV ±4.20 Maura Healey 57.00% Michael Minogue 32.00%
MassINC Polling Group In average 2026-09-22 this poll 800 LV ±4.00 Maura Healey 51.00% Michael Minogue 30.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Massachusetts governor's race?

Maura Healey leads Michael Minogue 55.7% to 32.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+23.0 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Massachusetts governor's race competitive?

No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Massachusetts governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from Suffolk University (completed October 18, 2026), found Maura Healey (D) at 59% and Michael Minogue (R) at 36%.

When is the 2026 Massachusetts governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term governor

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