Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Shapiro ✓ | 1,116,960 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stacy Garrity ✓ | 641,534 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Pennsylvania primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Race page
Candidates
Josh Shapiro Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
Stacy Garrity Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franklin & Marshall College | 2026-08-23 | 501 RV | ±5.50 | Josh Shapiro 50.00% | Stacy Garrity 25.00% |
| Bravo Group | 2026-08-22 | 711 LV | Josh Shapiro 56.00% | Stacy Garrity 25.00% | |
| The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University | 2026-08-21 | 760 LV | ±4.60 | Josh Shapiro 55.00% | Stacy Garrity 39.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race?
Josh Shapiro leads Stacy Garrity 53.7% to 29.7% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+24.0 margin based on 3 polls from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe D for Democrats.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Franklin & Marshall College (completed August 23, 2026), found Josh Shapiro (D) at 50% and Stacy Garrity (R) at 25%.
When is the 2026 Pennsylvania governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term governor, potential presidential aspirant