Primary
Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
Candidates
David Jolly
DemocratDayna Marie Foster
DemocratDotie Joseph
DemocratEvelyn Castillo-Bach
DemocratStephann Norman
DemocratThomas Eloy Fernandez
DemocratArthur Joseph McCaffrey
RepublicanBobby Williams
RepublicanByron Donalds
RepublicanCaneste Succe
RepublicanDaniel Nokovich
RepublicanJames Fishback
RepublicanJames Walker Shaw
RepublicanJay Collins
RepublicanJim Holcomb
RepublicanPaul Renner
RepublicanRachel Rodriguez
RepublicanDean Ocean Abrams
IndependentFrank J. Russo
IndependentJeffery Peter "Dr. Jeff" Datto
IndependentScott Jewett
LibertarianGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of North Florida | 2026-07-17 | 848 LV | ±3.80 | David Jolly 41.00% | Byron Donalds 46.00% |
| Change Research partisan·D | 2026-07-11 | 1004 LV | David Jolly 46.00% | Bryon Donalds 40.00% | |
| Change Research partisan·D | 2026-07-11 | 1004 LV | David Jolly 46.00% | Byron Donalds 40.00% | |
| Change Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-11 | 1348 RV | ±2.80 | David Jolly 37.00% | Byron Donalds 37.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Florida governor's race?
David Jolly (D) and Byron Donalds (R) are tied at 42.9% in the PollingSource polling average, based on 8 polls from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Florida governor's race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Florida governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from University of North Florida (completed July 17, 2026), found David Jolly (D) at 41% and Byron Donalds (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 Florida governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat