Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David Jolly ✓ | 761,674 | 61.0% | |
| Dayna Marie Foster | 189,234 | 15.1% | |
| Dotie Joseph | 119,837 | 9.6% | |
| Evelyn Castillo-Bach | 96,602 | 7.7% | |
| Thomas Eloy Fernandez | 47,301 | 3.8% | |
| Stephann Norman | 34,940 | 2.8% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds ✓ | 811,023 | 47.8% | |
| Jay Collins | 426,696 | 25.2% | |
| James Fishback | 177,660 | 10.5% | |
| Paul Renner | 144,950 | 8.5% | |
| Bobby Williams | 69,048 | 4.1% | |
| Rachel Rodriguez | 27,612 | 1.6% | |
| Jim Holcomb | 13,172 | 0.8% | |
| James W. Shaw | 7,891 | 0.5% | |
| Arthur Joseph McCaffrey | 7,052 | 0.4% | |
| Caneste Succe | 6,291 | 0.4% | |
| Daniel Nokovich | 5,211 | 0.3% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
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Race page
Candidates
David Jolly Nominee
Democrat
Byron Donalds Nominee
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-09-09 | 1107 LV | ±2.80 | David Jolly 47.00% | Byron Donalds 44.00% |
| Hart Research Associates | 2026-08-13 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | David Jolly 46.00% | Byron Donalds 45.00% |
| Targoz Market Research | 2026-07-26 | 1026 RV | David Jolly 38.00% | Byron Donalds 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Florida governor's race?
David Jolly leads Byron Donalds 47% to 44% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+3.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 30 days.
Is the 2026 Florida governor's race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R: Republicans are favored, but the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Florida governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Change Research (D) (completed September 9, 2026), found David Jolly (D) at 47% and Byron Donalds (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 Florida governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
Term-limited, open seat