Georgia Governor Race

2026 Election • Open Seat (Term Limited)
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held May 19, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Keisha Lance Bottoms ✓ 606,983 56.2%
Jason Esteves 201,523 18.7%
Mike Thurmond 139,552 12.9%
Geoff Duncan 75,630 7.0%
Derrick Jackson 24,977 2.3%
Amanda Duffy 18,765 1.7%
Olujimi Brown 12,291 1.1%

Republican Runoff

Held June 16, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Rick Jackson ✓ 373,415 52.7%
Burt Jones 335,858 47.4%

Full calendar and every race: Georgia primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
OPEN (Brian Kemp)
Party
Republican
Open Seat
Yes
Current Rating
Toss-up our polls
Term Limited
Yes
Polls
3 polls

PollingSource Rating

Toss-up
Our polling average R+1.7 · 3 polls

Toss-up = under 3 pts · Lean = 3–6 · Likely = 6–10 · Safe = 10+ (our poll average). "D+12.6" = Democrat ahead by 12.6 points. Tilt = a slight edge, used for expert averages and some House ratings.

General Election Polling Trend

Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.

The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.

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Expert Ratings

Cook Political Report

Toss Up

Inside Elections

Toss-up

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Toss-up

Candidates

Keisha Lance Bottoms

Keisha Lance Bottoms Nominee

Democrat

Rick Jackson Nominee

Republican

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.8%
Republican
48.5%
Margin
R+1.7
Latest poll in average
Oct 20, 2026

LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024

Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

Pollster Date Sample MoE Dem Rep
ActiVote In average 2026-10-20 this poll 400 LV ±4.90 Keisha Lance Bottoms 48.50% Rick Jackson 51.50%
Quantus Insights R-sponsored In average 2026-10-17 this poll 755 LV ±3.80 Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.00% Rick Jackson 48.00%
University of Georgia In average 2026-10-15 this poll 1000 LV ±3.10 Keisha Lance Bottoms 45.00% Rick Jackson 46.00%
GBAO Strategies Not in average 2026-10-15 this poll 2000 RV Keisha Lance Bottoms 45.00% Rick Jackson 46.00%
InsiderAdvantage missed 2024 by 1.9 pts Not in average 2026-10-13 this poll 800 LV ±3.50 Keisha Lance Bottoms 47.00% Rick Jackson 49.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Georgia governor's race?

Rick Jackson leads Keisha Lance Bottoms 48.5% to 46.8% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+1.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.

Is the 2026 Georgia governor's race competitive?

Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Georgia governor's race say?

The most recent poll in our average, from ActiVote (completed October 20, 2026), found Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) at 48.5% and Rick Jackson (R) at 51.5%.

When is the 2026 Georgia governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

Term-limited, open seat

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