Primary
Democratic Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs ✓ | 380,625 | 73.4% | |
| David Schweikert | 76,308 | 14.7% | |
| Scott Neely | 37,085 | 7.2% | |
| Ken Miceli | 24,707 | 4.8% |
Green Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risa Lombardo ✓ | — | — |
Independent Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teri Hourihan ✓ | 5,077 | 55.7% | |
| Hugh Lytle | — | — |
No Labels Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teri Ann Hourihan | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Katie Hobbs Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
Andy Biggs Nominee
RepublicanRisa Lombardo Nominee
GreenTeri Hourihan Nominee
IndependentGeneral Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HighGround, Inc. | 2026-10-08 | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Katie Hobbs 51.00% | Andy Biggs 34.00% |
| GrayHouse (R) partisan·R | 2026-10-08 | 550 LV | ±4.20 | Katie Hobbs 50.00% | Andy Biggs 44.00% |
| Wick (R) | 2026-10-06 | 1513 LV | ±2.60 | Katie Hobbs 49.00% | Andy Biggs 43.00% |
| Steve Cortes | 2026-10-06 | 1513 LV | ±2.60 | Katie Hobbs 48.90% | Andy Biggs 43.20% |
| GQR (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-10-05 | 600 LV | Katie Hobbs 49.00% | Andy Biggs 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Arizona governor's race?
Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs 50% to 40.3% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+9.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Arizona governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arizona governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from HighGround, Inc. (completed October 8, 2026), found Katie Hobbs (D) at 51% and Andy Biggs (R) at 34%.
When is the 2026 Arizona governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term, won by narrow margin
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