Primary
Primary held July 21, 2026.
Democratic Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs ✓ | 443,680 | 100.0% |
Republican Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs ✓ | 379,770 | 73.4% | |
| David Schweikert | 76,187 | 14.7% | |
| Scott Neely | 37,032 | 7.2% | |
| Ken Miceli | 24,707 | 4.8% |
Green Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risa Lombardo ✓ | 346 | 100.0% |
Independent Primary
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teri Hourihan ✓ | 5,077 | 55.7% | |
| Hugh Lytle | 4,039 | 44.3% |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.
Candidates
Katie Hobbs Nominee Incumbent
DemocratAndy Biggs Nominee
RepublicanRisa Lombardo Nominee
GreenTeri Hourihan Nominee
IndependentGeneral Election Polling Average
Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noble Predictive Insights ±4.0 | 2026-05-07 | 996 RV | ±3.10 | Katie Hobbs 41.00% | Andy Biggs 37.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Arizona governor's race?
Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs 41% to 37% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on 1 poll from the last 90 days.
Is the 2026 Arizona governor's race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arizona governor's race say?
The most recent public poll, from Noble Predictive Insights (completed May 7, 2026), found Katie Hobbs (D) at 41% and Andy Biggs (R) at 37%.
When is the 2026 Arizona governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term, won by narrow margin