Arizona Governor Race

2026 Election
Back to Governor Races

Primary

Democratic Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Katie Hobbs

Republican Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Andy Biggs 380,625 73.4%
David Schweikert 76,308 14.7%
Scott Neely 37,085 7.2%
Ken Miceli 24,707 4.8%

Green Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Risa Lombardo

Independent Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Teri Hourihan 5,077 55.7%
Hugh Lytle

No Labels Primary

Held July 21, 2026.

CandidateVotes%
Teri Ann Hourihan

Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Katie Hobbs
Party
Democrat
Open Seat
No
Current Rating
Likely D our polls experts: Toss-up
Polls
4 polls

PollingSource Rating

Likely D
Our polling average D+6.9 · 4 polls

General Election Polling Trend

PollingSource average — trailing average of all polls from the last 30 days.

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Expert Ratings

Expert Consensus Rating

Toss-up

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Katie Hobbs

Katie Hobbs Nominee Incumbent

Democrat
Andy Biggs

Andy Biggs Nominee

Republican

Risa Lombardo Nominee

Green

Teri Hourihan Nominee

Independent

General Election Polling Average

Democrat
46.5%
Republican
39.6%
Margin
D+6.9
Last Poll
Aug 21, 2026

Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →

PollsterDateSampleMoEDemRep
Quantus 2026-08-21 LV ±4.10 Katie Hobbs 49.10% Andy Biggs 43.20%
NextGen Polling (R) partisan·R 2026-08-19 1627 LV ±2.60 Katie Hobbs 39.00% Andy Biggs 38.00%
HighGround, Inc. 2026-08-18 400 LV ±4.90 Katie Hobbs 49.00% Andy Biggs 34.00%
Quantus Insights (R) partisan·R 2026-08-17 780 LV ±4.10 Katie Hobbs 49.00% Andy Biggs 43.00%

Questions About This Race

Who is winning the 2026 Arizona governor's race?

Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs 46.5% to 39.6% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+6.9 margin based on 4 polls from the last 30 days.

Is the 2026 Arizona governor's race competitive?

It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, meaning Democrats are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.

What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arizona governor's race say?

The most recent public poll, from Quantus (completed August 21, 2026), found Katie Hobbs (D) at 49.1% and Andy Biggs (R) at 43.2%.

When is the 2026 Arizona governor's race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race Notes

First-term, won by narrow margin

Race News