Primary
Democratic Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Hobbs ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Biggs ✓ | 380,625 | 73.4% | |
| David Schweikert | 76,308 | 14.7% | |
| Scott Neely | 37,085 | 7.2% | |
| Ken Miceli | 24,707 | 4.8% |
Green Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risa Lombardo ✓ | — | — |
Independent Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teri Hourihan ✓ | 5,077 | 55.7% | |
| Hugh Lytle | — | — |
No Labels Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teri Ann Hourihan | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
Katie Hobbs Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
Andy Biggs Nominee
RepublicanRisa Lombardo Nominee
GreenTeri Hourihan Nominee
Arizona Independent PartyGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrayHouse (R) R-sponsored In average | 2026-10-20 this poll | 550 LV | ±4.20 | Katie Hobbs 51.00% | Andy Biggs 45.00% |
| HighGround, Inc. In average | 2026-10-08 this poll | 400 LV | ±4.90 | Katie Hobbs 51.00% | Andy Biggs 34.00% |
| GrayHouse (R) R-sponsored In average | 2026-10-08 this poll | 550 LV | ±4.20 | Katie Hobbs 50.00% | Andy Biggs 44.00% |
| Wick (R) Not in average | 2026-10-06 this poll | 1513 LV | ±2.60 | Katie Hobbs 49.00% | Andy Biggs 43.00% |
| GQR (D) D-sponsored Not in average | 2026-10-05 this poll | 600 LV | Katie Hobbs 49.00% | Andy Biggs 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Arizona governor's race?
Katie Hobbs leads Andy Biggs 50.7% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+9.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Arizona governor's race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the PollingSource polling average rates it Likely D, the current rating band. An upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Arizona governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from GrayHouse (R) (completed October 20, 2026), found Katie Hobbs (D) at 51% and Andy Biggs (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 Arizona governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Race Notes
First-term, won by narrow margin
Race News
Get the daily email and the spending series
We store the address and the time you agree. No email is sent yet.