Wick
26 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | 5.4 pts | R+4.8 | 63% |
| 2020 | 8 | 3.1 pts | R+1.7 | 50% |
| 2018 | 1 | 3.2 pts | R+3.2 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 | NH Governor | R+10.6 | R+15.5 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-04 | NH Senate | R+0.1 | D+9.1 | 9.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | WI Governor | R+0.3 | D+3.4 | 3.7 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | MI Governor | D+1.3 | D+10.5 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | AZ Governor | R+2.4 | D+0.7 | 3.1 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | WI Senate | R+4.1 | R+1.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | AZ Senate | D+2.3 | D+4.9 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | PA Governor | D+5.9 | D+14.8 | 8.9 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-26 | PA Senate | R+1.7 | D+4.9 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-11 | MI Governor | R+0.8 | D+10.5 | 11.3 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-10 | PA Governor | D+2.1 | D+14.8 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | GA Governor | R+9.1 | R+7.5 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | AZ Governor | D+0.1 | D+0.7 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | PA Senate | R+4.5 | D+4.9 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-10 | NC Senate | R+4.5 | R+3.2 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-10 | GA Senate | Even | D+1.0 | 1.0 | — |
| 2022-10-10 | AZ Senate | D+2.5 | D+4.9 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-12-12 | GA Senate | R+4.1 | D+1.2 | 5.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-12-12 | GA Senate | R+2.5 | D+2.1 | 4.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | PA President | R+2.1 | D+1.2 | 3.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | OH President | R+2.9 | R+8.0 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | NC President | R+2.2 | R+1.4 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | MI President | D+0.3 | D+2.8 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | GA President | R+2.5 | D+0.2 | 2.7 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | FL President | R+2.9 | R+3.4 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-29 | ME Senate | R+28.0 | R+24.8 | 3.2 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.