HighGround Inc.
10 scored general-election polls (2016–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4 | 2.0 pts | R+1.8 | 75% |
| 2020 | 2 | 2.4 pts | D+2.4 | 100% |
| 2018 | 2 | 4.4 pts | R+4.4 | 50% |
| 2016 | 2 | 4.3 pts | D+4.3 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-01 | AZ Governor | R+1.4 | D+0.7 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2022-11-01 | AZ Senate | D+1.4 | D+4.9 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-12 | AZ Governor | D+1.0 | D+0.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-12 | AZ Senate | D+2.8 | D+4.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AZ Senate | D+6.5 | D+2.4 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AZ President | D+1.0 | D+0.3 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | AZ Governor | R+19.5 | R+14.2 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-27 | AZ Senate | R+1.2 | D+2.3 | 3.5 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-14 | AZ President | D+2.0 | R+3.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-14 | AZ Senate | R+10.0 | R+13.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.